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Record W2949103312

Quantitative Sea Ice Reconstruction for the Canadian Arctic Archipelago using the PIP25 Approach

2018· article· en· W2949103312 on OpenAlexaffabout
Jelena Fleet, Rachel Mackie

Bibliographic record

VenueStudent Research Proceedings · 2018
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicArctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
Canadian institutionsMacEwan University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSea iceArctic sea ice declineArctic ice packOceanographyArcticArchipelagoGeologyArctic geoengineeringClimatologyArctic dipole anomalyAntarctic sea iceCryosphereEnvironmental science
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Sea ice is an important component of Earth’s climate system; it plays major roles in albedo, carbon dioxide exchange, ocean circulation, and is an integral component of polar ecosystems. Sea ice in the Arctic, however, is rapidly declining; a decline which is projected to maintain throughout the 21st century as the annual mean global surface temperature rises. The possibility of a nearly ice-free Arctic Ocean will have negative consequences for the Earth’s climate system, such as creating positive feedbacks that will intensify warming. Reconstructing the past observational (satellite-based) records since 1979 of Arctic sea ice and sea surface conditions provides essential context for the recently observed multi-year sea ice decline. The primary objective of this project is to analyse biomarker (IP25 and brassicasterol/dinosterol) content in surface sediments of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago. This calibration will then be used as a basis on which to reconstruct sea-ice histories over the historical past from longer marine sediment cores. By recovering IP25 and phytoplankton biomarker concentrations from marine sediment cores, PIP25 sea ice indices for the Northwest Passage can be calculated. This sea ice index can be used to reconstruct specific past sea ice conditions, such as first-year vs multi-year ice cover, in a specific region. Subsequently, these results can be mapped. In order to compare current sea-ice with the historical past, current PIP25 values need to be related to observed modern sea ice conditions, therefore providing a regionally appropriate calibration for the study of past conditions in the geological record. Discipline: Earth and Planetary Sciences Faculty Mentor: Dr. Anna Pienkowski

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesScience and technology studies
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.528
Threshold uncertainty score0.997

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0040.002
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.143
GPT teacher head0.376
Teacher spread0.233 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2018
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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