Privacy-Aware Guessing Efficiency
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We investigate the problem of guessing a discrete random variable $Y$ under a privacy constraint dictated by another correlated discrete random variable $X$, where both guessing efficiency and privacy are assessed in terms of the probability of correct guessing. We define $h(P_{XY}, ε)$ as the maximum probability of correctly guessing $Y$ given an auxiliary random variable $Z$, where the maximization is taken over all $P_{Z|Y}$ ensuring that the probability of correctly guessing $X$ given $Z$ does not exceed $ε$. We show that the map $ε\mapsto h(P_{XY}, ε)$ is strictly increasing, concave, and piecewise linear, which allows us to derive a closed form expression for $h(P_{XY}, ε)$ when $X$ and $Y$ are connected via a binary-input binary-output channel. For $(X^n, Y^n)$ being pairs of independent and identically distributed binary random vectors, we similarly define $\underline{h}_n(P_{X^nY^n}, ε)$ under the assumption that $Z^n$ is also a binary vector. Then we obtain a closed form expression for $\underline{h}_n(P_{X^nY^n}, ε)$ for sufficiently large, but nontrivial values of $ε$.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".