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Record W2951133352

Weaker international outlook expected : global farming

2016· article· en· W2951133352 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Koos Coetzee

Bibliographic record

VenueFarmers' Weekly · 2016
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicGlobal Socioeconomic and Political Dynamics
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsQuarter (Canadian coin)EconomicsUnemploymentPopulationFinancial crisisChinaPopulation growthEmerging marketsPensionAgriculturePopulation ageingWorld economyDebtDeveloping countryEconomyDevelopment economicsEconomic growthMacroeconomicsGeographyFinancePolitical science
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In its October 2016 World Economic Outlook, the International Monetary Fund adjusted its growth estimates for 2016 and 2017 downwards. Slower growth in the developed economies is the main reason for the sluggish performance of the global economy. The expected improvement in the US economy in the second quarter did not materialise. Despite favourable weather, growth in the euro zone decreased during the first half of 2016. In the UK, faster growth in the first quarter was followed by slower growth in the second quarter. The slower growth in developed economies did not affect the emerging market and developing countries significantly. As a group, their economies picked up in the first quarter of 2016. China's economy grew by 6,5%, while India continued its robust recovery. The developed world was hard hit by the 2008 financial crisis. Although much was done to repair the damage, progress remains uneven. In the euro zone, GDP growth remains below pre-crisis levels.Weak global demand is still a problem and unemployment has decreased, but it is still above the pre-2008 level. Population growth in developed countries has slowed and will decline further in coming years. Population aging will put more pressure on pension and healthcare systems, resulting in increased debt problems.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.762
Threshold uncertainty score0.998

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.006

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.017
GPT teacher head0.227
Teacher spread0.210 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2016
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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