Riding the storm out: the short- and long-term effects of export promotion on firm performance during an economic downturn
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This study evaluates the short- and long-term impact of export promotion by focusing on a Spanish program to support beginning exporters. Based on the observations of 1884 firms over the period of 2005-2014, the findings demonstrate that the program had a positive impact on participants' export and economic performance, and the effects were persistent. The paper concludes that focusing export promotion towards SMEs and beginning exporters and ensuring a balanced mix of various forms of assistance are critical to the effectiveness and lasting effects of export promotion. It also shows that, during the recent great trade collapse starting in 2008, firms using this type of assistance outperformed firms in the control group and the national average regarding both export growth and survival rates. These results are encouraging regarding the countercyclical potential of export promotion. The findings have significant implications for scholars, managers and policymakers.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".