A Multivariate Skew-Normal Mean-Variance Mixture Distribution and Its Application to Environmental Data with Outlying Observations
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The presence of outliers, skewness, kurtosis, and dependency are well-known challenges while fitting distributions to many data sets. Developing multivariate distributions that can properly accomodate all these aspects has been the aim of several researchers. In this regard, we introduce here a new multivariate skew-normal mean-variance mixture based on Birnbaum-Saunders distribution. The resulting model is a good alternative to some skewed distributions, especially the skew-t model. The proposed model is quite flexible in terms of tail behavior and skewness, and also displays good performance in the presence of outliers. For the determination of maximum likelihood estimates, a computationally efficient Expectation-Conditional-Maximization (ECM) algorithm is developed. The performance of the proposed estimation methodology is illustrated through Monte Carlo simulation studies as well as with some real life examples.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it