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Record W2956300533 · doi:10.3390/jrfm12030117

On Combining Evidence from Heteroskedasticity Robust Panel Unit Root Tests in Pooled Regressions

2019· article· en· W2956300533 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Martin C. Arnold, Christoph Hanck

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of risk and financial management · 2019
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicMonetary Policy and Economic Impact
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersDeutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
KeywordsUnit rootEconometricsHeteroscedasticityNull hypothesisUnit root testVolatility (finance)Inflation (cosmology)StatisticsNull (SQL)Panel dataEconomicsEmpirical evidenceMathematicsComputer scienceCointegrationData mining

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Volatility break robust panel unit root tests (PURTs) recently proposed by Herwartz and Siedenburg (Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 2008, 53, 137–150) and Demetrescu and Hanck (Econometrics Letters 2012, 117, 10–13) have different performances under both the null and local alternatives. Common practice in empirical research is to apply multiple tests if none is uniformly superior. We show that this approach tends to produce contradictory evidence for the tests considered, making it unclear whether to reject the null. To address this problem, we advocate a combined testing procedure. Simulation evidence shows that the combined test has good size control and closely tracks the more powerful test. An empirical application reinvestigates whether there is a unit root in OECD inflation rates. We find evidence that inflation is stationary for long observation periods, but we cannot reject nonstationarity in most subsets of countries for the last three decades.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.066
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.332
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.066
Threshold uncertainty score0.348

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0660.332
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0030.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0050.006
Bibliometrics0.0150.014
Science and technology studies0.0010.003
Scholarly communication0.0080.010
Open science0.0040.006
Research integrity0.0040.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0080.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.083
GPT teacher head0.241
Teacher spread0.158 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2019
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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