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Record W2963538278 · doi:10.1090/tpms/1020

On fluctuation theory for spectrally negative Lévy processes with Parisian reflection below, and applications

2018· article· en· W2963538278 on OpenAlex

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affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueTheory of Probability and Mathematical Statistics · 2018
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicProbability and Risk Models
Canadian institutionsConcordia University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsValuation (finance)Laplace transformMathematicsMathematical financeModuloLévy processMathematical economicsOperator (biology)Markov processMarkov chainPure mathematicsFunction (biology)Applied mathematicsDiscrete mathematicsMathematical analysisFinance

Abstract

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As is well known, all functionals of a Markov process may be expressed in terms of the generator operator, modulo some analytic work. In the case of spectrally negative Markov processes, however, it is conjectured that everything can be expressed in a more direct way using the <inline-formula content-type="math/mathml"> <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="upper W"> <mml:semantics> <mml:mi>W</mml:mi> <mml:annotation encoding="application/x-tex">W</mml:annotation> </mml:semantics> </mml:math> </inline-formula> scale function which intervenes in the two-sided first passage problem, modulo performing various integrals. This conjecture arises from work on Levy processes [ <bold>6, 7, 12, 16, 28–30, 50</bold> ] where the <inline-formula content-type="math/mathml"> <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="upper W"> <mml:semantics> <mml:mi>W</mml:mi> <mml:annotation encoding="application/x-tex">W</mml:annotation> </mml:semantics> </mml:math> </inline-formula> scale function has explicit Laplace transform, and is therefore easily computable; furthermore it was found in the papers above that a second scale function <inline-formula content-type="math/mathml"> <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="upper Z"> <mml:semantics> <mml:mi>Z</mml:mi> <mml:annotation encoding="application/x-tex">Z</mml:annotation> </mml:semantics> </mml:math> </inline-formula> introduced in [ <bold>7</bold> ] (this is an exponential transform ( <bold>8</bold> ) of <inline-formula content-type="math/mathml"> <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="upper W"> <mml:semantics> <mml:mi>W</mml:mi> <mml:annotation encoding="application/x-tex">W</mml:annotation> </mml:semantics> </mml:math> </inline-formula> ) greatly simplifies first passage laws, especially for reflected processes. <inline-formula content-type="math/mathml"> <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="upper Z"> <mml:semantics> <mml:mi>Z</mml:mi> <mml:annotation encoding="application/x-tex">Z</mml:annotation> </mml:semantics> </mml:math> </inline-formula> is a harmonic function of the Lévy process (like <inline-formula content-type="math/mathml"> <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="upper W"> <mml:semantics> <mml:mi>W</mml:mi> <mml:annotation encoding="application/x-tex">W</mml:annotation> </mml:semantics> </mml:math> </inline-formula> ), corresponding to exterior boundary conditions <inline-formula content-type="math/mathml"> <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="w left-parenthesis x right-parenthesis equals e Superscript theta x"> <mml:semantics> <mml:mrow> <mml:mi>w</mml:mi> <mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>x</mml:mi> <mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:msup> <mml:mi>e</mml:mi> <mml:mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mml:mi> θ </mml:mi> <mml:mi>x</mml:mi> </mml:mrow> </mml:msup> </mml:mrow> <mml:annotation encoding="application/x-tex">w(x)=e^{\theta x}</mml:annotation> </mml:semantics> </mml:math> </inline-formula> ( <bold>9</bold> ) and is also a particular case of a “smooth Gerber–Shiu function” <inline-formula content-type="math/mathml"> <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="script upper S Subscript w"> <mml:semantics> <mml:msub> <mml:mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mml:mi class="MJX-tex-caligraphic" mathvariant="script">S</mml:mi> </mml:mrow> <mml:mi>w</mml:mi> </mml:msub> <mml:annotation encoding="application/x-tex">\mathcal {S}_w</mml:annotation> </mml:semantics> </mml:math> </inline-formula> . The concept of the Gerber–Shiu function was introduced in [ <bold>26</bold> ]; we will use it however here in the more restricted sense of [ <bold>15</bold> ], who define this to be a “smooth” harmonic function of the process, which fits the exterior boundary condition <inline-formula content-type="math/mathml"> <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="w left-parenthesis x right-parenthesis"> <mml:semantics> <mml:mrow> <mml:mi>w</mml:mi> <mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo> <mml:mi>x</mml:mi> <mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo> </mml:mrow> <mml:annotation encoding="application/x-tex">w(x)</mml:annotation> </mml:semantics> </mml:math> </inline-formula> and simultaneously solves the problems ( <bold>17</bold> ), ( <bold>18</bold> ). It has been conjectured that similar laws govern other classes of spectrally negativeprocesses, but it is quite difficult to find assumptions which allow proving this for general classes of Markov processes. However, we show below that in the particular case of spectrally negative Lévy processes with Parisian absorption and reflection from below [ <bold>6, 16, 21</bold> ], this conjecture holds true, once the appropriate <inline-formula content-type="math/mathml"> <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="upper W"> <mml:semantics> <mml:mi>W</mml:mi> <mml:annotation encoding="application/x-tex">W</mml:annotation> </mml:semantics> </mml:math> </inline-formula> and <inline-formula content-type="math/mathml"> <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="upper Z"> <mml:semantics> <mml:mi>Z</mml:mi> <mml:annotation encoding="application/x-tex">Z</mml:annotation> </mml:semantics> </mml:math> </inline-formula> are identified (this observation seems new). This paper gathers a collection of first passage formulas for spectrally negative Parisian Lévy processes, expressed in terms of <inline-formula content-type="math/mathml"> <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="upper W"> <mml:semantics> <mml:mi>W</mml:mi> <mml:annotation encoding="application/x-tex">W</mml:annotation> </mml:semantics> </mml:math> </inline-formula> , <inline-formula content-type="math/mathml"> <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="upper Z"> <mml:semantics> <mml:mi>Z</mml:mi> <mml:annotation encoding="application/x-tex">Z</mml:annotation> </mml:semantics> </mml:math> </inli

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Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.005
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.012
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.681
Threshold uncertainty score0.996

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0050.012
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.002
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.084
GPT teacher head0.369
Teacher spread0.285 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it