Seasonality, temperature and pregnancy oral glucose tolerance test results in Australia
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The oral glucose-tolerance test (OGTT) is currently the standard method for diagnosis of gestational diabetes (GDM). We conducted a post hoc analysis using the Australian Hyperglycemia and Adverse Pregnancy Outcome (HAPO) data to determine seasonal variations in OGTT results, the consequent prevalence of GDM, and association with select perinatal parameters. METHOD: Women enrolled in the Australian HAPO study sites (Brisbane and Newcastle) from 2001 to 2006 were included if OGTT results between 24 to 32 weeks gestation were available (n = 2120). Fasting plasma glucose, 1-h plasma glucose, 2-h plasma glucose, HbA1c, HOMA-IR, and umbilical cord C-peptide and glucose values were categorized by season and correlated to monthly temperature records from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology for Brisbane and Newcastle. GDM was defined post hoc using the IADPSG/WHO criteria. RESULTS: Small but significant (p < 0.01 on ANOVA) elevations in fasting glucose (+ 0.12 mM), HbA1c (+ 0.09%), and HOMA-IR (+ 0.88 units) were observed during the winter months. Conversely, higher 1-h (+ 0.19 mM) and 2-h (+ 0.33 mM) post-load glucose values (both p < 0.01) were observed during the summer months. The correlations between fasting glucose, 1-h glucose, 2-h glucose, and HbA1c with average monthly temperatures confirmed this trend, with positive Pearson's correlations between 1-h and 2-h glucose with increasing average monthly temperatures, and negative correlations with fasting glucose and HbA1c. Further, umbilical cord C-peptide and glucose displayed negative Pearson's correlation with average monthly temperature, aligned with trends seen in the fasting plasma glucose. Overall prevalence of GDM did not display significant seasonal variations due to the opposing trends seen in the fasting versus 1-h and 2-h post-load values. CONCLUSION: A significant winter increase was observed for fasting plasma glucose, HbA1c, and HOMA-IR, which contrasted with changes in 1-h and 2-h post-load venous plasma glucose values. Interestingly, umbilical cord C-peptide and glucose displayed similar trends to that of the fasting plasma glucose. While overall prevalence of GDM did not vary significantly by seasons, this study illustrates that seasonality is indeed an additional factor when interpreting OGTT results for the diagnosis of GDM and provides new direction for future research into the seasonal adjustment of OGTT results.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".