MétaCan
Menu
← Back to cohort
Record W2967217355 · doi:10.20288/jcs.2019.22.2.73

An Evaluation of the Chinese RMB Internationalization

2019· article· en· W2967217355 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Zhaojun Sun, Kwangsuk Han

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Journal of China Studies · 2019
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicGlobal Financial Crisis and Policies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsRenminbiLiberian dollarCurrencyReserve currencyInternationalizationChinaBusinessEconomicsInternational economicsExchange rateInternational tradeForeign exchange riskPolitical scienceFinanceMonetary economics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The global financial crisis in 2007 not only had a serious impact on the global financial system, but also led to a more sceptical view of US Dollar's role as the key currency. This opportunity led to the Chinese government actively promoting the internationalization of the Chinese Yuan. The People’s Bank of China has set three goals for the internationalization of the Yuan. The three goals are payment currency for international trade, investment currency and reserve currency. Chinese government set up a Yuan offshore settlement center not only in Hong Kong but also in London, Singapore, Seoul, France, Germany, Taiwan and New York. The Yuan became the world’s fifth-largest payment currency, surpassing the Canadian Dollar and the Australian Dollar in November 2014. The RMB also officially joined the SDR on 1 October, 2016. At present, the SDR currency basket consists of the US Dollar (41.73%), the euro (30.93%), the Chinese Yuan (10.92%), the Japanese Yen (8.33%), and the British Pound (8.09%). The percentage for the Yuan is ranked third after the US Dollar and euro. The internationalization of the Chinese Yuan has advanced rapidly since 2010, but this does not necessarily mean that the Chinese Yuan has reached the same level as the US Dollar or the euro, British Pound, or Japanese Yen. China is the second-largest economy in the world and is only beginning to recognize the need for the internationalization of the Yuan. This study aims to identify the properties and suitability of the RMB as an international currency. GDP, interest rate, and exchange rate were selected as the indicators of real and financial sectors. The empirical results revealed that the RMB manifested badly in the GDP and exchange rate sectors, but that the Chinese interest rate appeared synchronized with the United States' interest rate. Moreover, when the Chinese GDP growth rate is positive or the world economic growth rate is negative, their differences will converge. Similarly, when the Dollar depreciates or the Chinese Yuan appreciates, their differences will converge. There are no significant restrictions keeping the RMB from being incorporated as an international currency. However, the RMB is not yet fully convertible, and the exchange rate is still unstable. Moreover, the Chinese capital market is not yet fully open, and reform of the financial system must be urgently pursued.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.006
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.009
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.043
Threshold uncertainty score0.086

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0060.009
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0080.009
Science and technology studies0.0020.002
Scholarly communication0.0060.003
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0110.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.039
GPT teacher head0.313
Teacher spread0.275 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2019
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueThe Journal of China Studies→Same topicGlobal Financial Crisis and Policies→French-language works237,207→