Impact of the Baloxavir-Resistant Polymerase Acid I38T Substitution on the Fitness of Contemporary Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) Strains
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Baloxavir is a cap-dependent inhibitor of the polymerase acid (PA) protein of influenza viruses. While appearing virologically superior to oseltamivir, baloxavir exhibits a low barrier of resistance. We sought to assess the impact of the common baloxavir-resistant I38T PA substitution on in vitro properties and virulence. METHODS: Influenza A/Quebec/144147/2009 (H1N1)pdm09 and A/Switzerland/9715293/2013 (H3N2) recombinant viruses and their I38T PA mutants were compared in single and competitive infection experiments in ST6GalI-MDCK cells and C57/BL6 mice. Virus titers in cell culture supernatants and lung homogenates were determined by virus yield assays. Ratios of wild-type (WT) and I38T mutant were assessed by digital RT-PCR. RESULTS: I38T substitution did not alter the replication kinetics of A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) viruses. In competition experiments, a 50%:50% mixture evolved to 70%:30% (WT/mutant) for A(H1N1) and 88%:12% for A(H3N2) viruses after a single cell passage. The I38T substitution remained stable after 4 passages in vitro. In mice, the WT and its I38T mutant induced similar weight loss with comparable lung titers in both viral subtypes. The mutant virus tended to predominate over the WT in mouse competition experiments. CONCLUSION: The fitness of baloxavir-resistant I38T PA mutants appears relatively unaltered in seasonal subtypes warranting surveillance for its dissemination.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".