DeepSTD: Mining Spatio-Temporal Disturbances of Multiple Context Factors for Citywide Traffic Flow Prediction
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Deep learning techniques have been widely applied to traffic flow prediction, considering underlying routine patterns, and multiple context factors (e.g., time and weather). However, the complex spatio-temporal dependencies between inherent traffic patterns and multiple disturbances have not been fully addressed. In this paper, we propose a two-phase end-to-end deep learning framework, namely DeepSTD to uncover the spatio-temporal disturbances (STD) to predict the citywide traffic flow. In the STD Modeling phase, we propose an STD modeling method to model both the different regional disturbances caused by various region functions and the spatio-temporal propagating effects. In the Prediction phase, we eliminate the STD from the historical traffic flow to enhance the leaning of inherent traffic patterns and combine the STD at the prediction time interval to consider the future disturbances. The experimental results on two real-world datasets demonstrate that DeepSTD outperforms the state-of-the-art methods.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it