Trends in antimicrobial resistance over 10 years among key bacterial pathogens from Canadian hospitals: results of the CANWARD study 2007–16
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: We sought to analyse 10 years of longitudinal surveillance data (2007-16) from the CANWARD study and describe emerging trends in antimicrobial resistance for key bacterial pathogens across Canada. METHODS: Longitudinal data from CANWARD study sites that contributed isolates every year from 2007 to 2016 were analysed to identify trends in antimicrobial resistance over time using univariate tests of trend and multivariate regression models to account for the effects of patient demographics. RESULTS: Statistically significant increases occurred in the proportion of Escherichia coli isolates resistant to extended-spectrum cephalosporins, amoxicillin/clavulanate, trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole and ciprofloxacin. Similarly, the proportion of Klebsiella pneumoniae isolates resistant to extended-spectrum cephalosporins, amoxicillin/clavulanate, trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole, ciprofloxacin and carbapenems increased during the study. The proportion of Enterobacter cloacae isolates resistant to ceftazidime and trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole increased. The proportion of both ESBL-positive E. coli and K. pneumoniae (including bloodstream isolates) increased significantly between 2007 and 2016. A reduction in the proportion of Pseudomonas aeruginosa that were ciprofloxacin, cefepime, colistin, amikacin and gentamicin resistant and an increase in the proportion of P. aeruginosa isolates non-susceptible to meropenem were observed. The proportion of isolates of Staphylococcus aureus non-susceptible to clarithromycin, clindamycin and trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole decreased over time while an increase in the proportion of isolates of Streptococcus pneumoniae non-susceptible to clarithromycin, clindamycin and doxycycline was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Increases in Enterobacteriaceae resistance to multiple classes of antimicrobials, increases in ESBL-positive E. coli and K. pneumoniae, and the small but significant increase in carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae were the most remarkable changes in antimicrobial resistance observed from 2007 to 2016 in Canada.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".