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Enhancing consistency in consequential life cycle inventory through material flow analysis

2019· article· en· W2971631894 on OpenAlexaffabout
Sylvain Cordier, François Robichaud, Pierre Blanchet, Ben Amor

Bibliographic record

VenueIOP Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science · 2019
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicEnvironmental Impact and Sustainability
Canadian institutionsUniversité LavalUniversité de SherbrookeNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSupply chainMaterial flowMaterial flow analysisGreenhouse gasComputer scienceConsistency (knowledge bases)ExtrapolationEnvironmental scienceEnvironmental economicsOperations researchBusinessEconomicsEngineeringMathematics

Abstract

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Abstract Wood products are gaining interest in the building sector, due to their potential in sequestering greenhouse gas emissions. However, increasing wood materials use in the built market can have unforeseen changes in the material supply chains. Consequential Life Cycle Assessment (CLCA) allows the assessment of changes in material supply chain. To quantify and link those consequences, the affected physical flows need to be estimated. Material Flow Analysis (MFA) can bring to CLCA modelling more representative and quantitative information than the commonly used hypothesis in consequential modelling. Indeed, MFA considers physical constraints (technology performances and material availability), in addition to account for mass balance. The main objective of this presentation is to illustrate how such consistency is added to CLCA through an MFA of wood products in non-residential (NR) buildings in the province of Québec (Canada). Wood flows are tracked to identify their end-use markets and trends in consumption. To overcome the lack of data and bring insights on the sector’s dynamics, such as stock variations and potential discarded flows that supply recycling markets, residence time model and also extrapolation and correlation between physical and economic parameters are used. Results show how flows can increase in the market before reaching their physical constraints, such as the available wood stock in the forest. These insights will significantly enhance the data collection for CLCA. In conclusion, the MFA brings support to CLCA by proposing a framework to model changes in the construction market.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Science and technology studies, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.289
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.003
Scholarly communication0.0000.002
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0150.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.009
GPT teacher head0.213
Teacher spread0.205 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations7
Published2019
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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