Stepping Beyond Behaviour: Explainable Machine Learning for Clinical Neurophysiological Assessment of Concussion Progression
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The present dissertation details a sequence of studies in mild traumatic brain injury, the progression of its effects on the human brain as recorded by event-related electroencephalography, and potential applications of machine learning algorithms in detecting such effects. The work investigated data collected from two populations (in addition to healthy controls): 1) a recently-concussed adolescent group, and 2) a group of retired football athletes who sustained head trauma a number of years prior to testing. Neurophysiological effects of concussion were assessed across both groups with the same experimental design using a multi-deviant auditory oddball paradigm designed to elicit the P300 and other earlier components. Explainable machine learning models were trained to classify concussed individuals from healthy controls. Cross-validation performance accuracies on the recently-concussed (chapter 4) and retired athletes (chapter 3) were 80% and 85%, respectively. Features showed to be most useful in the two studies were different, motivating a study of potential differences between the different injury-stage/age groups (chapter 5). Results showed event-related functional connectivity to modulate differentially between the two groups compared to healthy controls. Leveraging results from the presented work a theoretical model of mild traumatic brain injury progression was proposed to form a framework for synthesizing hypotheses in future research.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.014 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".