Углубление участия России в интеграционных процессах АСЕАН в условиях мировой нестабильности нарастания новых проблем и трудностей в Юго-Восточной Азии
Bibliographic record
Abstract
On November 13, 2018, Singapore hosted the latest ASEAN summit, where its 15 members - heads of Southeast Asian nations - for the first time didn't sign a joint Declaration. Donald Trump was absent from the summit, apparently due to his negative attitude to multilateral cooperation. Trump often criticizes regional integration in the form of Free Trade Zones (PCN). His disregard for FTZ was proven by the USA's departure from the North American Free Trade Agreement (Canada - United States - Mexico) declared by Trump on November 30, 2018 at the G20 summit in Argentina. Rapprochement with ASEAN is Russia's strategic objective aimed at increasing its presence in East Asia. This was proven by the cooperation between Russia and Vietnam - a member of ASEAN and the EAEU-Vietnam Free Trade Zone. Aim. The study aims to examine the economic cooperation between the Russian Federation and ASEAN in the context of the current risks and threats, summarize the progress, and analyze the problems. Tasks. The authors explore the possibility of Russia participating in ASEAN's mega-projects from a country perspective, examine the commercial objectives of the leading Russian public companies operating in ASEAN and the expected effects. Methods. This study uses general scientific methods of cognition, statistical macroeconomic indicators of ASEAN countries, and data of the Russian Federal State Statistics Service for the first two decades of the 21st century. Results. The study proves that global instability and declining growth rates in the global economic space have not affected ASEAN yet. The GDP growth rate of all 10 ASEAN members in the 21st century is 2-3 times higher than the world average. Conclusions. There are no trade wars or military standoffs between ASEAN members. The countries cooperate efficiently across more than 15 Free Trade Zones, including China, Japan, South Korea, India, Oceania, and the EU. Russia's participation in ASEAN within the EAEU-Vietnam Free Trade Zone is discussed. Singapore announced that it was joining the EAEU in the Free Trade Zone at the 2018 ASEAN summit.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.035 | 0.112 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".