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Record W2974791562 · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1811.00683

Quasi-random sampling for multivariate distributions via generative neural networks

2018· preprint· en· W2974791562 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenuearXiv (Cornell University) · 2018
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicMathematical Approximation and Integration
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCopula (linguistics)Multivariate statisticsVariance reductionParametric statisticsComputer scienceMathematicsAlgorithmMonte Carlo methodEconometricsStatisticsMachine learning

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Generative moment matching networks (GMMNs) are introduced for generating quasi-random samples from multivariate models with any underlying copula in order to compute estimates under variance reduction. So far, quasi-random sampling for multivariate distributions required a careful design, exploiting specific properties (such as conditional distributions) of the implied parametric copula or the underlying quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) point set, and was only tractable for a small number of models. Utilizing GMMNs allows one to construct quasi-random samples for a much larger variety of multivariate distributions without such restrictions, including empirical ones from real data with dependence structures not well captured by parametric copulas. Once trained on pseudo-random samples from a parametric model or on real data, these neural networks only require a multivariate standard uniform randomized QMC point set as input and are thus fast in estimating expectations of interest under dependence with variance reduction. Numerical examples are considered to demonstrate the approach, including applications inspired by risk management practice. All results are reproducible with the demos GMMN_QMC_paper, GMMN_QMC_data and GMMN_QMC_timings as part of the R package gnn.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.892
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.188
GPT teacher head0.276
Teacher spread0.088 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it