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[Evaluating fire behavior simulators in southwestern China forest area].

2017· article· en· W2975245178 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Fan Zhao, Shu Li, Ru Liang Zhou, Xiang Ming Xiao, Ming Yu Wang, Feng Zhao, Qiu Hua Wang

Bibliographic record

VenuePubMed · 2017
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicFire effects on ecosystems
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPinus yunnanensisEnvironmental scienceChinaPinus <genus>Distribution (mathematics)Computer scienceMathematicsGeographyArchaeologyBiologyBotany

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

As an important technical reference for efficient prevention and fighting against forest fire, forest fire behavior parameters are mainly obtained from fire behavior simulators in some deve-loped countries. This study selected two simulators, the Farsite from USA and the Prometheus from Canada, which were both widely used in local area. Through comparing simulated results and relative data of the '3·29 Fire' occurred in Anning City, Southwestern China, we tried to evaluate accuracy of the simulators in a quantitative way. The results indicated that, in the simulation of peri-meter, the precision of Farsite under Scott fuel model was the highest, while Prometheus was the lowest, but the difference was not significant. The difference in simulative perimeter between Farsite and Prometheus mainly concentrated in the distribution area of Pinus yunnanensis. In the simulation of rate of spread (ROS), the mean ROS results of Farsite under both fuel models were close to the actual situation, while the results of Prometheus were far away from the actual situation. The diffe-rent simulative area of ROS between Farsite and Prometheus mainly concentrated in the distribution area of P. yunnanensis. In the simulation of fireline intensity (FLI), the mean FLI results of Farsite under both fuel models were similar, and Prometheus obtained significantly different FLI results from Farsite, while the different simulative area of FLI between Farsite and Prometheus mainly concentrated in the distribution area of Quercus.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.088
Threshold uncertainty score0.175

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.037
GPT teacher head0.272
Teacher spread0.235 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations5
Published2017
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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