Very Good Partial Response and Complete Response Predict Superior Overall Survival and Progression Free Survival After Single Autologous Stem Cell Transplant in Patients with Multiple Myeloma,
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Abstract 4111 In multiple myeloma (MM), the impact of complete response (CR) and very good partial response (VGPR) achievement has been shown mostly after introduction of high dose therapy (HDT) supported by autologous stem cell transplant (ASCT). Recently, the IFM group reported the impact of achievement of CR and VGPR in double ASCT. The purpose of this study is to confirm the prognostic value of CR/VGPR in a large group of patients treated with single ASCT. Methods All consecutive patients who underwent single ASCT at Princess Margaret Hospital between January 2000 and December 2007 were evaluated. Patients were mobilized with cyclophosphamide and G-CSF and majority were conditioned with melphalan 200mg/m2. Response to therapy was assessed according to the IMWC including VGPR. Progression Free Survival (PFS) and Overall Survival (OS) were measured from transplant date to the date of death or last follow-up. OS and DFS were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier Method. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess CR and VGPR and some other prognostic markers at presentation such as age, B2Mg> 460 μmol/L, LDH> 350 IU/L, CRP> 20mg/L, albumin<35g/L and creatinine > 200 μmol/L. All p-values were 2-sided and statistically significant if <0.05. Results 788 patients were identified for the study; their median age was 56 years (30–73). Patient's characteristics are listed in Table 1. Response was assessed at day 100 after ASCT and showed a CR of 6%, PR of 37.5%, and VGPR of 53% (Overall Response rate of 95.5%). Median OS and PFS for the group were 77.43 months and 20.63 months respectively. The median OS and PFS were significantly better for patients who achieved CR/VGPR, 104.5 months versus 51.7 months, and 26.3 months versus 13.53 months respectively. With a median follow-up of 44 months there is no significant difference in OS for those patients who achieved VGPR/CR after induction therapy with novel agents. However, PFS is better in those patients receiving novel agents who achieved VGPR/CR (Median PFS of 24.63months versus 12.4 months respectively (p=0.01). Multivariate analysis shows CR/VGPR as an independent prognostic factor for OS and PFS (Fig 1 and 2). B2Mg> 460 μmol/L, LDH> 350 IU/L, CRP > 20mg/L, albumin<35g/L and creatinine > 200 μmol/L failed to be important factor for survival in the multivariate analysis. Our data suggests that VGPR/CR is clearly important in the pre-novel agents era and for the smaller group of patients who had novel agents induction there is a benefit in PFS and with a longer follow-up perhaps in OS. In conclusion, VGPR/CR remains a simple and powerful indicator in the context of single ASCT and should be considered a relevant objective for MM treatment. Table 1. Clinical characteristics of patients with Multiple Myeloma undergoing single ASCT Clinical characteristic N=788 Median Range % Age (years) 58 31–74 Male 59.4% Female 40.6% Hemoglobin (g/L) 114 54–180 Creatinine (μmol/L) 107 28–1409 B2-microglobulin ((μmol/L) (N=718) 508 260–7270 Albumin (g/L) (N=650) 38 23–54 IgG 51.1% IgA 31.3% IgM 0.4% IgD 0.7% Biclonal 9.9% Not Detected 6.6 Kappa 59.4% Lambda 32.9% Biclonal 2% Not Detected 5.7% Calcium (μmol/L) 2.29 1.62–4.66 LDH (IU/L) (N=754) 235 50–1470 Induction Treatment: 52.2% VAD 22.8% Dexamethasone 6.3% TD 2.3% CP 3.8% DPACE/DTPACE 1.7% DVD 8% CyBORD 2% VD Ab: VAD: Vincristine, Adriamycin and dexamethasone, TD: Thalidomide and Dexamethasone; CP: Cyclophosphamide and Prednisone, DVD: Doxil, Velcade and Dexamethasone, CyBORD: Cyclophosphamide, Bortezomib and Dexamethasone and VD: Valcade and Dexamethasone Disclosures: Jimenez-Zepeda: J & J: Honoraria. Reece:Bristol, Meyers, Squibb: Honoraria, Research Funding; Celgene: Honoraria, Research Funding; Janssen: Honoraria, Research Funding; Johnson&Johnson: Research Funding; Merck: Honoraria, Research Funding; Otsuka: Honoraria, Research Funding; Millennium: Research Funding; Amgen: Honoraria. Chen:Celgene Corporation: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding. Kukreti:Celgene: Honoraria.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".