Dinámica de la inversión en la economía española (1982-2007): expectativas, demanda y financiación
Bibliographic record
Abstract
El objeto principal de este trabajo es analizar la dinámica inversora que ha mostrado la economía española durante el período expansivo 1982-2007, caracterizado por el fuerte aumento del sector de la construcción, con el objetivo de explicar las causas que determinaron un patrón de crecimiento muy dinámico. Combinando distintos elementos teóricos de las principales hipótesis sobre los determinantes de la inversión, se propone un marco que permite analizar simultáneamente los tres tipos de agentes inversores (hogares, Estado y empresas), basado en las categorías de expectativas, demanda y financiación. Utilizando los datos de la base BBVA-IVIE y una metodología de series temporales obtenemos que la inversión efectuada por los distintos agentes muestra una serie de interdependencias que dan como resultado el papel predominante que las “actividades vinculadas con la construcción” tienen como motor de la inversión en su conjunto.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".