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Record W2981485809 · doi:10.1088/1475-7516/2019/10/048

Efficient propagation of systematic uncertainties from calibration to analysis with the SnowStorm method in IceCube

2019· article· en· W2981485809 on OpenAlexaff
M. G. Aartsen, M. Ackermann, J. Adams, J. A. Aguilar, M. Ahlers, Cyril Martin Alispach, B. Al Atoum, K. Andeen, T. Anderson, I. Ansseau, G. Anton, C. Argüelles, J. Auffenberg, Spencer Axani, Paul Backes, H. Bagherpour, X. Bai, Aswathi Balagopal, Anastasia Maria Barbano, S. W. Barwick, Benjamin Bastian, V. Baum, S. Baur, R. Bay, J. J. Beatty, K. H. Becker, J. Becker Tjus, S. BenZvi, D. Berley, E. Bernardini, D. Besson, G. Binder, D. Bindig, E. Blaufuss, Summer Blot, C. Böhm, M. Börner, S. Böser, O. Botner, J. Böttcher, Etienne Bourbeau, J. Bourbeau, Federica Bradascio, J. Braun, S. Bron, Jannes Brostean-Kaiser, A. Burgman, J. Büscher, Raffaela Busse, T. Carver, Kunal Deoskar, E. Cheung, D. Chirkin, S. Choi, K. Clark, Lew Classen, Alan Coleman, G. H. Collin, J. M. Conrad, Paul Coppin, Pablo Correa, D. F. Cowen, R. Cross, Pranav Dave, C. De Clercq, James DeLaunay, H.-P. Dembinski, S. De Ridder, P. Desiati, K. D. de Vries, G. de Wasseige, M. de With, T. DeYoung, A. Diaz, J. C. Díaz–Vélez, Hrvoje Dujmović, M. Dunkman, Emily Dvorak, B. Eberhardt, Thomas Ehrhardt, P. Eller, R. Engel, P. A. Evenson, S. Fahey, A. R. Fazely, J. Felde, K. Filimonov, C. Finley, A. Franckowiak, Edward Friedman, Alexander Fritz, T. K. Gaisser, J. S. Gallagher, Erik Ganster, S. Garrappa, L. Gerhardt, K. Ghorbani, Theo Glauch, T. Glüsenkamp, A. Goldschmidt, J. G. González, D. Grant, Z. Griffith, Spencer Griswold, M. Günder, Mehmet Gündüz, Christian Haack, A. Hallgren, L. Halve, F. Halzen, K. Hanson, A. Haungs, D. Hebecker, D. Heereman, P. Heix, K. Helbing, R. Hellauer, Felix Henningsen, S. Hickford, J. Hignight, G. C. Hill, K. D. Hoffman, R. Hoffmann, Tobias Hoinka, Benjamin Hokanson-Fasig, K. Hoshina, F. Huang, M. E. Huber, Thomas Huber, K. Hultqvist, Mirco Hünnefeld, Raamis Hussain, S. In, N. Iovine, A. Ishihara, G. S. Japaridze, Minjin Jeong, K. Jero, B. J. P. Jones, F. Jonske, R. Joppe, Donghwa Kang, Woosik Kang, A. Kappes, David Kappesser, T. Karg, Martina Karl, A. Karle, U. Katz, M. Kauer, J. L. Kelley, Ali Kheirandish, J. Kim, T. Kintscher, J. Kiryluk, T. Kittler, Ramesh Koirala, H. Kolanoski, L. Köpke, Claudio Kopper, S. Kopper, D. J. Koskinen, M. Kowalski, K. Krings, G. Krückl, N. Kulacz, N. Kurahashi, A. Kyriacou, M. Labare, J. L. Lanfranchi, M. J. Larson, Frederik Hermann Lauber, J. P. Lazar, Agnieszka Leszczyńska, M. Leuermann, Qinrui Liu, Elisa Lohfink, L. Lu, Francesco Lucarelli, J. Lünemann, William Luszczak, W. Y., J. Madsen, G. Maggi, K. B. M. Mahn, Yuya Makino, P. Mallik, K. Mallot, Sarah Mancina, Ioana Codrina Mariş, R. Maruyama, K. Mase, R. Maunu, Frank McNally, K. Meagher, M. Medici, Andrés Medina, Maximilian Meier, S. Meighen-Berger, T. Menne, G. Merino, T. Meures, Jessie Micallef, D. Mockler, G. Momenté, T. Montaruli, R. W. Moore, R. Morse, Marjon Moulai, P. Muth, R. Nagai, Uwe Naumann, G. Neer, Hans Niederhausen, Sarah Nowicki, D. R. Nygren, A. Obertacke Pollmann, M. Oehler, A. Olivas, A. O’Murchadha, Erin O’Sullivan, T. Palczewski, Hershal Pandya, D. V. Pankova, N. Park, P. Peiffer, C. Pérez de los Heros, Saskia Philippen, D. Pieloth, E. Pinat, A. Pizzuto, M. Plum, Alessio Porcelli, P. B. Price, G. T. Przybylski, Christoph Raab, Amirreza Raissi, M. Rameez, L. Rauch, K. Rawlins, I. C. Rea, R. Reimann, B. Relethford, M. Renschler, Giovanni Renzi, E. Resconi, W. Rhode, M. Richman, S. Robertson, Martin Rongen, C. Rott, T. Ruhe, D. Ryckbosch, D. Rysewyk, I. Safa, S. E. Sanchez Herrera, Alexander Sandrock, J. Sandroos, M. Santander, S. Sarkar, K. Satalecka, Merlin Schaufel, H. Schieler, P. Schlunder, T. Schmidt, A. Schneider, Judith Schneider, Frank Schröder, L. Schumacher, S. Sclafani, D. Seckel, S. Seunarine, S. Shefali, M. Silva, R. Snihur, Jan Soedingrekso, Dennis Soldin, M. Song, G. M. Spiczak, C. Spiering, Juliana Stachurska, M. Stamatikos, Todor Stanev, Robert Stein, Peter Steinmüller, J. Stettner, A. Steuer, T. Stezelberger, R. G. Stokstad, A. Stößl, N. L. Strotjohann, T. Stürwald, Thomas Stuttard, G. W. Sullivan, I. Taboada, F. Tenholt, S. Ter–Antonyan, A. Terliuk, S. Tilav, Kirsten Tollefson, Lenka Tomankova, Christoph Tönnis, S. Toscano, D. Tosi, Alexander Trettin, M. Tselengidou, C. F. Tung, A. Turcati, Roxanne Turcotte, Colin Turley, B. Ty, E. Unger, Martin Unland Elorrieta, M. Usner, J. Vandenbroucke, W. Van Driessche, D. van Eijk, N. van Eijndhoven, S. Vanheule, J. V. Santen, M. Vraeghe, C. Walck, A. Wallace, M. Wallraff, N. Wandkowsky, T. B. Watson, C. Weaver, A. Weindl, Matthew J. Weiss, Jan Weldert, Chris Wendt, Johannes Werthebach, B. J. Whelan, N. Whitehorn, K. Wiebe, C. H. Wiebusch, L. Wille, D. R. Williams, L. Wills, Martin Wolf, J. Wood, T. R. Wood, K. Woschnagg, Gerrit Wrede, Dawei Xu, Xiaolin Xu, Y. Xu, G. Yodh, S. Yoshida, Tianlu Yuan, M. Zöcklein

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics · 2019
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicAstrophysics and Cosmic Phenomena
Canadian institutionsUniversity of AlbertaSnolab
FundersCollege of Engineering, Michigan State UniversityFonds Wetenschappelijk OnderzoekBelgian Federal Science Policy OfficeBundesministerium für Bildung und ForschungScience and Technology Facilities CouncilMichigan State UniversityMarquette UniversityUniversity of Wisconsin-MadisonUniversity of Texas at ArlingtonMassachusetts Institute of TechnologyOffice of Polar ProgramsFonds De La Recherche Scientifique - FNRSU.S. Department of EnergyNational Science Foundation
KeywordsPhysicsMonte Carlo methodStatistical physicsObservableDegrees of freedom (physics and chemistry)WeightingNeutrinoNuisance parameterCalibrationStatisticsParticle physicsMathematicsEstimator

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Efficient propagation of systematic uncertainties from calibration to analysis with the SnowStorm method in IceCube, Aartsen, M.G., Ackermann, M., Adams, J., Aguilar, J.A., Ahlers, M., Alispach, C., Atoum, B. Al, Andeen, K., Anderson, T., Ansseau, I., Anton, G., Argüelles, C., Auffenberg, J., Axani, S., Backes, P., Bagherpour, H., Bai, X., V., A. Balagopal, Barbano, A., Barwick, S.W., Bastian, B., Baum, V., Baur, S., Bay, R., Beatty, J.J., Becker, K.-H., Tjus, J. Becker, BenZvi, S., Berley, D., Bernardini, E., Besson, D.Z., Binder, G., Bindig, D., Blaufuss, E., Blot, S., Bohm, C., Börner, M., Böser, S., Botner, O., Böttcher, J., Bourbeau, E., Bourbeau, J., Bradascio, F., Braun, J., Bron, S., Brostean-Kaiser, J., Burgman, A., Buscher, J., Busse, R.S., Carver, T., Chen, C., Cheung, E., Chirkin, D., Choi, S., Clark, K., Classen, L., Coleman, A., Collin, G.H., Conrad, J.M., Coppin, P., Correa, P., Cowen, D.F., Cross, R., Dave, P., Clercq, C. De, DeLaunay, J.J., Dembinski, H., Deoskar, K., Ridder, S. De, Desiati, P., de Vries, K.D., de Wasseige, G., de With, M., DeYoung, T., Diaz, A., Díaz-Vélez, J.C., Dujmovic, H., Dunkman, M., Dvorak, E., Eberhardt, B., Ehrhardt, T., Eller, P., Engel, R., Evenson, P.A., Fahey, S., Fazely, A.R., Felde, J., Filimonov, K., Finley, C., Franckowiak, A., Friedman, E., Fritz, A., Gaisser, T.K., Gallagher, J., Ganster, E., Garrappa, S., Gerhardt, L., Ghorbani, K., Glauch, T., Glüsenkamp, T., Goldschmidt, A., Gonzalez, J.G., Grant, D., Griffith, Z., Griswold, S., Günder, M., Gündüz, M., Haack, C., Hallgren, A., Halve, L., Halzen, F., Hanson, K., Haungs, A., Hebecker, D., Heereman, D., Heix, P., Helbing, K., Hellauer, R., Henningsen, F., Hickford, S., Hignight, J., Hill, G.C., Hoffman, K.D., Hoffmann, R., Hoinka, T., Hokanson-Fasig, B., Hoshina, K., Huang, F., Huber, M., Huber, T., Hultqvist, K., Hünnefeld, M., Hussain, R., In, S., Iovine, N., Ishihara, A., Japaridze, G.S., Jeong, M., Jero, K., Jones, B.J. P., Jonske, F., Joppe, R., Kang, D., Kang, W., Kappes, A., Kappesser, D., Karg, T., Karl, M., Karle, A., Katz, U., Kauer, M., Kelley, J.L., Kheirandish, A., Kim, J., Kintscher, T., Kiryluk, J., Kittler, T., Klein, S.R., Koirala, R., Kolanoski, H., Köpke, L., Kopper, C., Kopper, S., Koskinen, D.J., Kowalski, M., Krings, K., Krückl, G., Kulacz, N., Kurahashi, N., Kyriacou, A., Labare, M., Lanfranchi, J.L., Larson, M.J., Lauber, F., Lazar, J.P., Leonard, K., Leszczyńska, A., Leuermann, M., Liu, Q.R., Lohfink, E., Mariscal, C.J. Lozano, Lu, L., Lucarelli, F., Lünemann, J., Luszczak, W., Lyu, Y., Ma, W.Y., Madsen, J., Maggi, G., Mahn, K.B. M., Makino, Y., Mallik, P., Mallot, K., Mancina, S., Mariş, I.C., Maruyama, R., Mase, K., Maunu, R., McNally, F., Meagher, K., Medici, M., Medina, A., Meier, M., Meighen-Berger, S., Menne, T., Merino, G., Meures, T., Micallef, J., Mockler, D., Momenté, G., Montaruli, T., Moore, R.W., Morse, R., Moulai, M., Muth, P., Nagai, R., Naumann, U., Neer, G., Niederhausen, H., Nowicki, S.C., Nygren, D.R., Pollmann, A. Obertacke, Oehler, M., Olivas, A., O'Murchadha, A., O'Sullivan, E., Palczewski, T., Pandya, H., Pankova, D.V., Park, N., Peiffer, P., Pérez de los Heros, C., Philippen, S., Pieloth, D., Pinat, E., Pizzuto, A., Plum, M., Porcelli, A., Price, P.B., Przybylski, G.T., Raab, C., Raissi, A., Rameez, M., Rauch, L., Rawlins, K., Rea, I.C., Reimann, R., Relethford, B., Renschler, M., Renzi, G., Resconi, E., Rhode, W., Richman, M., Robertson, S., Rongen, M., Rott, C., Ruhe, T., Ryckbosch, D., Rysewyk, D., Safa, I., Herrera, S.E. Sanchez, Sandrock, A., Sandroos, J., Santander, M., Sarkar, S., Sarkar, S., Satalecka, K., Schaufel, M., Schieler, H., Schlunder, P., Schmidt, T., Schneider, A., Schneider, J., Schröder, F.G., Schumacher, L., Sclafani, S., Seckel, D., Seunarine, S., Shefali, S., Silva, M., Snihur, R., Soedingrekso, J., Soldin, D., Song, M., Spiczak, G.M., Spiering, C., Stachurska, J., Stamatikos, M., Stanev, T., Stein, R., Steinmüller, P., Stettner, J., Steuer, A., Stezelberger, T., Stokstad, R.G., Stößl, A., Strotjohann, N.L., Stürwald, T., Stuttard, T., Sullivan, G.W., Taboada, I., Tenholt, F., Ter-Antonyan, S., Terliuk, A., Tilav, S., Tollefson, K., Tomankova, L., Tönnis, C., Toscano, S., Tosi, D., Trettin, A., Tselengidou, M., Tung, C.F., Turcati, A., Turcotte, R., Turley, C.F., Ty, B., Unger, E., Elorrieta, M.A. Unland, Usner, M., Vandenbroucke, J., Driessche, W. Van, Eijk, D. van, Eijndhoven, N. van, Vanheule, S., Santen, J. van, Vraeghe, M., Walck, C., Wallace, A., Wallraff, M., Wandkowsky, N., Watson, T.B., Weaver, C., Weindl, A., Weiss, M.J., Weldert, J., Wendt, C., Werthebach, J., Whelan, B.J., Whitehorn, N., Wiebe, K., Wiebusch, C.H., Wille, L., Williams, D.R., Wills, L., Wolf, M., Wood, J., Wood, T.R., Woschnagg, K., Wrede, G., Xu, D.L., Xu, X.W., Xu, Y., Yanez, J.P., Yodh, G., Yoshida, S., Yuan, T., Zöcklein, M.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.005
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.013
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.013
Threshold uncertainty score0.026

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0050.013
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.008
GPT teacher head0.237
Teacher spread0.229 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations40
Published2019
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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