The inflection point hypothesis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The end goal of failure diagnosis is to locate the root cause. Prior root cause localization approaches almost all rely on statistical analysis. This paper proposes taking a different approach based on the observation that if we model an execution as a totally ordered sequence of instructions, then the root cause can be identified by the first instruction where the failure execution deviates from the non-failure execution that has the longest instruction sequence prefix in common with that of the failure execution. Thus, root cause analysis is transformed into a principled search problem to identify the non-failure execution with the longest common prefix. We present Kairux, a tool that does just that. It is, in most cases, capable of pinpointing the root cause of a failure in a distributed system, in a fully automated way. Kairux uses tests from the system's rich unit test suite as building blocks to construct the non-failure execution that has the longest common prefix with the failure execution in order to locate the root cause. By evaluating Kairux on some of the most complex, real-world failures from HBase, HDFS, and ZooKeeper, we show that Kairux can accurately pinpoint each failure's respective root cause.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.007 | 0.061 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.008 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.008 |
| Open science | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.056 | 0.016 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".