Le retour du mythe des passages arctiques : quel trafic maritime dans l’Arctique au XXIe siècle ?
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Dans le contexte des changements climatiques et de la fonte accélérée de la banquise arctique, les médias et bon nombre d’articles scientifiques se font l’écho des possibles autoroutes maritimes qui structureraient les passages arctiques au XIXe siècle. Ces scénarios reposent souvent sur la projection de la fonte de la glace, des analyses de coûts et l’idée que des trajets plus courts seront nécessairement attractifs, mais négligent les aspects logistiques et économiques de la navigation commerciale en mer englacée. Leur enthousiasme s’enracine plutôt dans une lecture fantasmée des passages arctiques héritée des grands voyages d’exploration du XVIe au XIXe siècle.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.007 | 0.013 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.008 | 0.006 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.005 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".