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Record W2989569695 · doi:10.1289/isee.2011.00542

EXTREME AIR POLLUTION EVENTS FROM BUSHFIRES AND CARDIO-RESPIRATORY HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS IN SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA 1994-2007

2011· article· en· W2989569695 on OpenAlexaff
Fay H. Johnston, Ivan Hanigan, Kara Martin, Sarah B. Henderson, Geoffrey Morgan

Bibliographic record

VenueISEE Conference Abstracts · 2011
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicClimate Change and Health Impacts
Canadian institutionsBC Centre for Disease Control
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineAsthmaCOPDChronic bronchitisOdds ratioEnvironmental healthBronchitisSmokePopulationConfidence intervalPneumoniaAir pollutionEmergency medicineDemographyInternal medicineMeteorologyGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Background and aims: Extreme air pollution events due to bushfire smoke are expected to increase as a consequence of climate change, yet little has been published about their population health impacts. We examined the association between bushfire smoke pollution events and hospital admissions in Sydney from 1997-2004. Methods: Events were defined as days for which smoke from bushfires caused the 24 hour city-wide average concentration of PM10 to exceed the 99th percentile. We used a time-stratified case-crossover design with conditional logistic regression modeling adjusted for daily meteorology, flu epidemics and holidays. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for admissions on event compared with non-event days were estimated. We assessed admissions for all cardiovascular conditions, ischaemic heart diseases, hypertensive diseases, cerebrovascular diseases, all respiratory conditions, asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), bronchitis and pneumonia. Results: There were 52 days during the study period in which the extreme particulate pollution was attributable to bushfire smoke. On the day of the smoke events all respiratory hospital admissions increased by 7% (OR 1.071, 95%CI, 1.033,1.112). Admissions for COPD increased 16% (OR 1.168, 95%CI 1.080, 1.263) and asthma by 14% (OR 1.145, 95%CI 1.036, 1.265). Results were similar at a lag of one day. No associations were observed with other respiratory diagnoses or with cardiovascular admissions. Conclusions: Bushfire smoke pollution events were associated with increases in admissions for respiratory, rather than cardiovascular conditions.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.076
Threshold uncertainty score0.995

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0060.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.164
GPT teacher head0.316
Teacher spread0.152 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2011
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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