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Record W2990224485 · doi:10.17323/1996-7845-2019-02-02

The G20’s Future

2019· article· en· W2990224485 on OpenAlexaff
John Kirton

Bibliographic record

VenueInternational Organisations Research Journal · 2019
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicArctic and Russian Policy Studies
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPhysicsPolitical scienceHumanitiesPhilosophy

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The Group of Twenty (G20) was created at the ministerial level in response to the global financial crisis that erupted from Asia in 1997, and then at the leaders' level after the greater crisis from the United States in 2008. These crises called into question the core principles and practices of the dominant liberal order and its core international institutions, based on economic, social and political openness, developed since 1944. The G20 combined all established and emerging countries with high capability and connectivity to operate as equals to fulfill its dual distinctive foundational mission of promoting financial stability and making globalization work for all. Since its first summit in 2008 its performance spiked at Hamburg, Germany in 2017 and remained solid at Buenos Aires in 2018. These latter summits coped well with the new populist, protectionist U.S. president and a UK prime minister withdrawing her country from the European Union. G20-supported initiatives for rules-based open trade, climate change control and security were advanced. No other global summit emerged to govern an increasingly globalized world. With the forces that propelled this rising performance growing, future G20 summits promise to perform well along this proven path. The next summit, in Osaka, Japan on 28-29 July 2019 will be hosted by a country that has never sparked a financial crisis, remains dedicated to the core liberal order and is becoming more economically and even demographically open in response to the growing vulnerabilities it and its G20 partners face. After a test in 2020 when the G20 summit will be hosted in Saudi Arabia -a still-closed polity with a single staple, state-controlled economy -G20 stewardship returns to democratic, economically open Italy in 2021 and India in 2022.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesScience and technology studies, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.892
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0040.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.058
GPT teacher head0.446
Teacher spread0.388 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2019
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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