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Record W2991103112 · doi:10.1093/cvr/cvz294

Cardiovascular research highlights from the UK Biobank: opportunities and challenges

2019· article· en· W2991103112 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Zahra Raisi‐Estabragh, Steffen E. Petersen

Bibliographic record

VenueCardiovascular Research · 2019
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicLipoproteins and Cardiovascular Health
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersCircle Cardiovascular ImagingEuropean CommissionNational Institute for Health and Care ResearchBritish Heart FoundationNational Institute on Handicapped Research
KeywordsBiobankMedicineBioinformaticsBiology

Abstract

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United Kingdom (UK) Biobank (UKB) is one of the largest and most comprehensive population studies in the world, incorporating data from over half a million individuals from across the UK recruited between 2006 and 2010. Participants underwent detailed baseline assessment including characterization of socio-demographics, health status, blood sampling, and a series of physical measures. Health outcomes for all participants are prospectively tracked through linkages with national cohort sources (death registries, cancer registries, hospital episode statistics, and primary care records). Incidence of selected illnesses (e.g. myocardial infarction and stroke) is defined through adjudicated algorithms that incorporate data from self-report, hospital episode statistics, and death registers. Detailed baseline phenotyping of participants includes a comprehensive blood biomarker panel and full genotyping of all 500 000 participants. The dataset has been further enhanced by the UKB imaging study, which aims to image 100 000 of the original UKB participants. The imaging protocol includes magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the heart, brain, and abdomen. Since its launch in 2015, over 47 000 individuals have completed the imaging protocol, already making the UKB imaging study the largest imaging bank of its kind. Data from UKB are available to researchers from across the world through a formal access application process (Figure 1). Selected events from the UK Biobank (UKB) timeline.5,6 UKB provides unique opportunities for cardiovascular research. The scale and depth of UKB data herald a new era in cardiovascular epidemiology allowing conduction of robust, high-powered studies with the potential to translate directly to improvements in public health. The large sample allows better definition of existing cardiovascular risk factors and identification of disease patterns that may be diluted or inconsistent in smaller sample sizes. Characterization of diverse environmental factors in conjunction with genetic data allows for consideration of their combined role in disease causation and the development of generalizable risk scores to better predict and treat disease. In addition, genetic instruments may be used to infer causation between exposure-outcome variables using Mendelian randomization methodologies. UKB also acts as a platform for scientific discovery. Novel cardiovascular risk factors with small but important impact and potential mechanistic significance can be readily identified and studied. CMR images of UKB participants provide an invaluable resource for evaluating the cardiac consequences of various exposures, but also for the development of innovative image analysis techniques and new imaging biomarkers. Furthermore, the scale of the imaging project provides a platform and motivator for the development and validation of artificial intelligence image analysis algorithms. The power of UKB will increase with time as increasing number of participants develop disease, however, valuable findings have already emerged from the project and are shaping how we conduct research and think about cardiovascular health. We present highlights from UKB in the last 12 months and discuss upcoming challenges and opportunities. In a UKB Mendelian randomization study, Hendriks et al.1 present a novel line of evidence supporting a causal relationship between elevated systolic blood pressure and higher left ventricular (LV) mass. Through analysis of biomarker and disease profiles of UKB participants, Welsh et al.2 demonstrate the clinical utility of lipid testing, particularly, non-high density lipoprotein cholesterol in low-risk middle-aged populations. They also observe, that in individuals with multiple vascular risk factors, apolipoprotein B may inform cardiovascular risk not captured by other cholesterol measures. Building on these findings, Ference et al.3 use genetic risk scores to demonstrate an inverse association between cardiovascular risk and lifetime exposure to lower levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and lower systolic blood pressure. Zhao et al.4 highlight the potential sex-differential impact of cardiovascular risk factors, reporting a positive association between genetically predicted insulin levels and important cardiovascular outcomes (myocardial infarction, angina, heart failure) in men, but not in women. Karlsson et al.7 identify visceral adiposity as a causal predictor of important cardiac disease and risk factors (hypertension, heart attack/angina, type 2 diabetes, hyperlipidaemia). Using data from UKB abdominal MRI scans, the authors derived novel loci for visceral adiposity volume [visceral adipose tissue (VAT)] and demonstrated higher risk of all four outcomes in individuals with greater genetically predicted VAT and report a causal relationship supported by Mendelian randomization analysis. In a prospective survival analysis, Graham et al.8 demonstrate greater hazard of first onset cardiovascular disease in individuals with major depressive disease and hypertension than those with hypertension alone, suggesting incorporation of depression into cardiovascular risk scores. Through a prospective and Mendelian randomization study design, Daghlas et al.9 identify sleep duration as a predictor of myocardial infarction with support for a causal relationship. Jensen et al.10 present novel insights into diabetic cardiomyopathy demonstrating subclinical remodelling of all four cardiac chambers in diabetic individuals without cardiovascular disease, suggesting a global disease process, rather than a localized condition of the LV. Cox et al.11 consider the interaction of vascular and brain health, through demonstration of the association of vascular risk factors with adverse brain MRI indices. The presence of genetic data coupled with imaging phenotypes has enabled identification of genetic loci that determine important cardiac phenotypes, which is critical for risk stratification and for the development of novel therapeutic targets. Aung et al.12 report 14 new genetic loci for LV CMR phenotypes, and Fung et al.13 identified novel loci for arterial stiffness index. Several groups have used CMR images of UKB participants to develop and validate novel imaging biomarkers. For instance, Cetin et al.14 have demonstrated the feasibility of CMR radiomics in UKB and demonstrate the ability of CMR radiomics analysis to distinguish between individuals with and without hypertension. In another study, Gilbert et al.15 explore the impact of cardiovascular risk factors on cardiac remodelling through cardiac morphometric LV atlases derived from UKB CMR scans and demonstrate the superior sensitivity of morphometric scores for detection of differences in LV shape associated with cardiovascular risk factors in comparison to conventional CMR indices. The UKB CMR bank has been a driver for development of artificial intelligence algorithms for automated CMR image analysis. Chen et al.16 present a convolutional neural network-based segmentation method for analysis of CMR images developed and tested using UKB CMR data. Attar et al.17 have used UKB CMR scans to develop pipelines permitting scalable fully automated analysis of images. The unique value of UKB derives from linkage of prospectively ascertained outcome data for all participants that is accurate and sufficiently detailed to conduct robust studies and draw meaningful conclusions. The collation and harmonization of health outcome data from the variety of sources with which linkages are established in a scalable manner present significant challenges for the organizers of UKB, as does the subsequent safeguarding and storage of such data. The scale of the UKB imaging project warrants the development of fully automated image analysis approaches including automated quality control, grading of quality, and automating batch processing of images. This is currently underway, facilitated by positive industry partnerships. The challenge for the scientific community is to adapt through training and collaborations to attain within their teams the skillsets required for handling and analysis of such large datasets. The breadth of data permits imaginative projects and collaborative approach with different disciplines is likely to produce the most novel insights. S.E.P. acknowledges support from the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Cardiovascular Biomedical Research Centre at Barts and received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 825903. Conflict of interest: S.E.P. acts as a paid consultant to Circle Cardiovascular Imaging Inc., Calgary, Canada. Z.R.E. is supported by British Heart Foundation Clinical Research Training Fellowship (FS/17/81/33318). Biography: Zahra Raisi-Estabragh is a PhD fellow and trainee Cardiologist at Queen Mary University of London and Barts Health NHS Trust. She is supported by a British Heart Foundation clinical research training fellowship. She holds MBCHB (Hons) from the University of Liverpool and a PG cert. in Medical Education from University College London (UCL). Biography: Steffen E. Petersen is a Professor of Cardiovascular Medicine at the William Harvey Research Institute, Queen Mary University of London and a Consultant Cardiologist and Clinical Director for Research at Barts Heart Centre, Barts Health NHS Trust. He is also the Cardiovascular Programme Director of UCL Partners Academic Medical Centre. He is Vice President of the European Society of Cardiology's (ESC) European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging (EACVI) and chair of the Cardiovascular MRI section. He is the chief specialty editor of Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine’s Cardiovascular Imaging section. He holds an MBCHB and MDRES equivalent (Dr med.) from Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, Germany, a DPHIL (OXON) from the Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Oxford, an MPH from Harvard School of Public Health and an MSc in Health Economics, Outcomes and Management in Cardiovascular Science from the London School of Economics.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.123
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.250
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: Commentary
Teacher disagreement score0.123
Threshold uncertainty score0.650

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.1230.250
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0030.002
Bibliometrics0.0060.009
Science and technology studies0.0050.005
Scholarly communication0.0240.024
Open science0.0050.017
Research integrity0.0150.016
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0380.014

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.267
GPT teacher head0.360
Teacher spread0.093 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations25
Published2019
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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