Transient ischaemic dilation and post-stress wall motion abnormality increase risk in patients with less than moderate ischaemia: analysis of the REFINE SPECT registry
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
AIMS: Ischaemia on single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) is strongly associated with cardiovascular risk. Transient ischaemic dilation (TID) and post-stress wall motion abnormalities (WMA) are non-perfusion markers of ischaemia with incremental prognostic utility. Using a large, multicentre SPECT MPI registry, we assessed the degree to which these features increased the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with less than moderate ischaemia. METHODS AND RESULTS: Ischaemia was quantified with total perfusion deficit using semiautomated software and classified as: none (<1%), minimal (1 to <5%), mild (5 to <10%), moderate (10 to <15%), and severe (≥15%). Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard analyses were used to assess associations between high-risk imaging features and MACE. We included 16 578 patients, mean age 64.2 and median follow-up 4.7 years. During follow-up, 1842 patients experienced at least one event. Patients with mild ischaemia and TID were more likely to experience MACE compared with patients without TID [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.42, P = 0.023], with outcomes not significantly different from patients with moderate ischaemia without other high-risk features (unadjusted HR 1.15, P = 0.556). There were similar findings in patients with post-stress WMA. However, in multivariable analysis of patients with mild ischaemia, TID (adjusted HR 1.50, P = 0.037), but not WMA, was independently associated with increased MACE. CONCLUSION: In patients with mild ischaemia, TID or post-stress WMA identify groups of patients with outcomes similar to patients with moderate ischaemia. Whether these combinations identify patients who may derive benefit from revascularization deserves further investigation.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it