Methods for analysis of complex survey data: an application using the Tanzanian 2015 Demographic and Health Survey and Service Provision Assessment
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) seek to better utilize household and health facility survey data for monitoring and evaluation, as well as for health program planning. However, analysis of this complex survey data are complicated. In Tanzania, the National Evaluation Platform project sought to analyze Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data and Service Provision Assessment (SPA) data as part of an evaluation of the national One Plan for Maternal and Child Health. To support this evaluation, we used this survey data to answer two key methodological questions: 1) what are the benefits and costs of using sampling weights in rate estimation; and 2) what is the best method for calculating standard errors in these two surveys? METHODS: We conducted a simulation study for each methodologic question. The first simulation study assessed the benefits and costs of using sampling weights in rate estimation. This simulation used weighted and unweighted estimates and examined bias, variance, and the mean squared error (MSE). The second simulation study assessed the best method for calculating standard errors comparing cluster bootstrapped variance estimation, design based asymptotic variance with one level (svy1), and design based asymptotic variance with three levels (svy3). We compared coverage probability and confidence interval length. RESULTS: Our results showed that although weighted estimates were less biased, unweighted estimates were less variable. The weighted estimates had a lower MSE, indicating that the effect of the bias trade-off was greater than the effect of the variance trade-off for most indicators assessed. The best performer for variance estimation was the cluster bootstrap method, followed by the svy3 method. The svy1 method was the worst performer for most indicators assessed. CONCLUSIONS: As complex survey data become more widely used for policymaking in LMICs, there is a need for guidance on the best methods for analyzing this data. The standard of practice has been a design-based analysis using survey weights and the single-level svy method for calculating standard errors. This study puts forth an alternative approach to analysis. In addition, this study offers practical guidance on determining the best method for analysis of complex survey data.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.014 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".