Histological Markers of Clinical Relapse in Endoscopically Quiescent Ulcerative Colitis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In ulcerative colitis (UC) patients who have achieved mucosal healing, active microscopic colonic mucosal inflammation is commonly observed. We aimed to assess the association between histological activity and disease relapse in endoscopically quiescent UC. METHODS: Ulcerative colitis patients with endoscopically quiescent disease and ≥12 months of follow-up were included. Biopsies were reviewed for the presence of basal plasmacytosis (BPC) and active histological inflammation, defined as a Geboes score (GS) ≥3.2. Primary outcome measures were disease relapse at 18 months and time to first relapse after index colonoscopy. RESULTS: Seventy-six UC patients (51% male; mean age, 38.6 years; median follow-up [range], 75.2 [2-118] months) were included. Sixty-two percent had an endoscopic Mayo score of 0 at index colonoscopy. Basal plasmacytosis was present in 46% and active histological inflammation in 30% of subjects. Presence of BPC was associated with a significantly shorter time to disease relapse (P = 0.01). Active histological inflammation was significantly associated with clinical relapse at 18 months (P = 0.0005) and shorter time to clinical relapse (P = 0.0006). Multivariate analysis demonstrated active histological inflammation to be independently associated with clinical relapse at 18 months and time to clinical relapse. CONCLUSIONS: In endoscopically quiescent UC, active histological inflammation and the presence of BPC are adjunctive histological markers associated with increased likelihood of disease relapse. Although prospective studies are required, the presence of these histological markers should be a factor considered when making therapeutic decisions in UC.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".