P233 Evaluating the association between faecal calprotectin and endoscopic outcomes in ulcerative colitis using the HICKORY open-label induction cohort
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background In clinical practice, faecal calprotectin (FC) is used to monitor disease activity in ulcerative colitis (UC); however, there is no consensus on optimal cut-off values of FC for predicting endoscopic outcomes. FC performance has not been extensively assessed in the context of clinical trials using central endoscopy. This study aimed to evaluate the association between FC and endoscopic disease activity and to propose a meaningful cut-off FC value to predict endoscopic outcomes using data from the open-label induction (OLI) cohort of HICKORY (NCT02100696). Methods HICKORY is a Phase 3 study evaluating etrolizumab in anti-tumour necrosis factor α-experienced patients with moderate-to-severe UC. The study included patients who received ≥1 dose of etrolizumab 105 mg subcutaneously every 4 weeks during a 14-week induction period. Percentage change in FC was calculated at week 14. The endoscopic activity was measured by Mayo Clinic score (MCS) endoscopic subscore (ES) using a robust central-reading model. Endoscopic improvement was defined as ES=0/1; clinical remission as MCS ≤2 and no individual subscore >1. FC analysis was performed by Covance® (Bühlman FC ELISA assay). Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were used to calculate cut-off FC values. Results A total of 97 patients (mean age [standard deviation], 41.2 ± 13.4 years) were included in the analysis. Median (interquartile range [IQR]) baseline duration of disease was 6.3 (3.2–12.3) years with a median (IQR) MCS of 9 (8–10). Median (IQR) baseline FC and ES were 254 (156–455) µg/g and 3 (3-3). At week 14, median (IQR) FC percentage change was −13 (−57 to 112). A numerical association between changes in FC level and ES was observed (Table). A cut-off FC value of 159 µg/g was observed to predict endoscopic improvement with >70% sensitivity and specificity; ROC area under the curve was 0.78 (Figure). Similar results were observed for clinical remission. Conclusion In this exploratory analysis using HICKORY OLI cohort data, changes in FC appear to associate with changes in ES. A cut-off FC value of 159 µg/g predicted endoscopic improvement. In UC, FC may be a useful non-invasive biomarker for ascertaining endoscopic disease activity in clinical trials; however, further clinical studies validating FC cut-offs against centrally read endoscopy are needed.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".