Readmission for Treatment Failure After Nonoperative Management of Acute Diverticulitis: A Nationwide Readmissions Database Analysis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The true incidence of, and risk factors for, readmission for treatment failure after nonoperative management of acute diverticulitis remain poorly understood. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to describe the incidence and risk factors for readmission for treatment failure after nonoperative management of acute diverticulitis using a large national database. DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort study. SETTINGS: A representative sample of admissions and discharges from hospitals in the United States captured in the National Readmissions Database were included. PATIENTS: Adult patients (age ≥18 y) admitted with a primary diagnostic of colonic diverticulitis between 2010 and 2015 and who were managed nonoperatively and discharged from hospital alive were included. INTERVENTIONS: Study intervention included nonoperative management, consisting of medical therapy with or without percutaneous drainage. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Readmission for treatment failure (defined as a nonelective readmission for diverticulitis within 90 d of discharge), complicated treatment failure (defined as a treatment failure with complicated diverticulitis), and time-to-treatment failure were measured. RESULTS: In total, 201,384 patients were included. The overall incidence of readmission for treatment failure was 6.6%. Treatment failure was significantly higher among patients with an index episode of acute complicated diverticulitis compared with acute uncomplicated diverticulitis (12.5% vs 5.7%; p < 0.001). The median time-to-readmission for treatment failure was 21.0 days (range, 20.4-21.6 d), and 85% of all readmissions occurred within 60 days of discharge. On multiple logistic regression, factors independently associated with readmission for treatment failure were an index admission of complicated diverticulitis (OR = 2.06 (95% CI, 1.97-2.16)), disposition on discharge (against medical advice: OR = 1.92 (95% CI, 1.66-2.20); home health care arrangements: OR = 1.24 (95% CI, 1.16-1.33)), and immunosuppression (OR = 1.42 (95% CI, 1.28-1.57)), among others. Risk factors for a complicated treatment failure were also described, after an index episode of complicated and uncomplicated diverticulitis. LIMITATIONS: The study was limited by residual confounding from missing covariates and its observational study design. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of readmission for treatment failure after an episode of diverticulitis managed nonoperatively is 6.6%, and an index episode of complicated diverticulitis is the strongest risk factor for treatment failure. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B92. REINGRESO POR FRACASO DEL TRATAMIENTO DESPUÉS DEL TRATAMIENTO NO QUIRÚRGICO DE LA DIVERTICULITIS AGUDA: UN ANÁLISIS DE LA BASE DE DATOS DE REINGRESOS A NIVEL NACIONAL: La verdadera incidencia y los factores de riesgo para el reingreso por fracaso del tratamiento después de manejo no quirúrgico de la diverticulitis aguda siguen siendo mal definidos.Definir la incidencia y los factores de riesgo de reingreso por fracaso del tratamiento no quirúrgico de la diverticulitis aguda utilizando una base de datos nacional.Estudio de cohorte retrospectivo.Una muestra representativa de ingresos y egresos de hospitales en los Estados Unidos capturados en la base de datos nacional de reingresos hospitalarios.Pacientes adultos (≥18 años) ingresados con un diagnóstico primario de diverticulitis colónica entre 2010-2015, y que fueron tratados de forma no operativa y dados de alta del hospital vivos.Manejo no quirúrgico, que consiste en terapia médica con o sin drenaje percutáneo.Reingreso por fracaso del tratamiento (definido como un reingreso no electivo por diverticulitis dentro de los 90 días despues de ser dados de alta), fracaso del tratamiento complicado (definido como un fracaso del tratamiento con diverticulitis complicada) y el tiempo hasta el tratamiento en casos fracasaados.201.384 pacientes incluidos en total. La incidencia global de reingreso por fracaso del tratamiento fue del 6,6%. El fracaso del tratamiento fue significativamente mayor entre los pacientes con un episodio índice de diverticulitis aguda complicada en comparación con la diverticulitis aguda no complicada (12.5% vs. 5.7%, p <0.001). La mediana del tiempo hasta el reingreso por fracaso del tratamiento fue de 21.0 (20.4 - 21.6) días, y el 85% de todos los reingresos ocurrieron dentro de los 60 días posteriores a ser dados de alta. En la regresión logística múltiple, los factores asociados independientemente con el reingreso por fracaso del tratamiento fueron un índice de admisión de diverticulitis complicada (OR 2.06, IC 95% 1.97-2.16), disposición (de alta en contra del consejo médico: OR 1.92, IC 95% 1.66-2.2; atención médica domiciliaria: OR 1.24, IC 95% 1.16-1.33) e inmunosupresión (OR 1.42, IC 95% 1.28-1.57), entre otros. Los factores de riesgo para un fracaso del tratamiento complicado también se describieron, respectivamente, después de un episodio índice de diverticulitis complicada y no complicada.Covariables faltantes y diseño de estudio observacional.La incidencia de reingreso por fracaso del tratamiento después de un episodio de diverticulitis manejado de forma no operativa es del 6,6%, y un episodio índice de diverticulitis complicada es el factor de riesgo más fuerte para el fracaso del tratamiento. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/B92. (Traducción-Dr. Adrian E. Ortega).
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".