P807 UCEIS is associated with PRO2, partial Mayo and SCCAI remission in UC: preliminary results from a prospective study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Optimal management of patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) requires the accurate assessment of disease activity. Endoscopic evaluation is considered the gold standard approach, but it is invasive. We aimed to determine the operating characteristics of the Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity (UCEIS), to quantify the cut off most closely correlated with clinical remission or activity and determine agreement with the Mayo endoscopic subscore (MES), Baron score, clinical scores and biomarkers. Methods 136 patients were included prospectively (age: 48 (IQR38-61) years, duration 12 (4–19)years, 63 females, 53.7% extensive disease, 40.4% on biologicals) at the time of the colonoscopy. Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity (UCEIS) Mayo endoscopic subscore (MES), Baron scores were calculated, as well as the2 item patient reported outcome (PRO), partial MAYO, Simple Clinical Colitis Activity Index (SCCAI). CRP and faecal calprotectin (FCAL) was available in 58.1 and 33.8% of patients. 20.7% had clinical flare, treatment was escalated in 17.8% of patients. ROC analysis and K-statistics were performed and Spearman’s correlation was calculated. Results UCEIS was strongly associated to PRO2 SF (AUC:0.866), RBS (AUC:0.921), PRO2 combined remission (AUC:0.905), partial MAYO (AUC:0.956) and SCCAI (AUC:0.907) remission in a ROC analysis. A UCEIS of ≤3 was identified as the best cut-off to identify RBS subscore of 0, or total PRO2 remission (RBS 0 and SF ≤1), partial MAYO (≤2) and SCCAI (≤2.5) remission, while a UCEIS≥4 identified active disease frequently needing change in medical therapy. A moderate agreement was found between UCEIS and MES (K=0.451) or Baron (K=0.499) scores. Correlation between FCAL and UCEIS (coeff:0.743, p < 0.0001) was strong, while modest only with CRP (coeff:0.333, p = 0.01). Conclusion A UCEIS was strongly associated with clinical remission defined as PRO2, SF, RBS, partial Mayo or SCCAI with best agreement with RBS and partial Mayo remission. A UCEIS of ≤3 was identified as a cut-off for quiescent disease, while a UCEIS≥4 identified active disease, which can support clinical decision-making based on endoscopic findings. Agreement between UCEIS and FCAL was strong, while agreement with UCEIS and MES/Baron scores was moderate.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".