Basketball lineup performance prediction using network analysis
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Winning a game in professional sports is the most significant matter for a team. All teams strive to bring their best performance to a game, and this requires considering all the possible lineups which coaches have available. Therefore, determining the lineup is more and more significant for a team in their winning endeavour. The ongoing result during a game defines the next decision coaches have to make to maintain or improve the outcome. Adaptive changes in a lineup of a team requires a complex decision making system. This system must consider the advantages, drawbacks, and previous experience about both teams' performance under similar situations. In order to analyze and predict lineups' performance, the authors create a directed, weighted, and signed network of all lineups that teams use against each other from 2007-2016 seasons in National Basketball Association (NBA) games. The proposed model uses machine learning and network analysis techniques to predict the performance of a lineup under a given situation by utilizing graph theory and Inverse Squared Metric.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.007 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it