A High Percent Free Prostate Specific Antigen in the Setting of Biochemical Recurrence after Radical Prostatectomy is Associated with Poorer Outcomes: A Validation Study Using Prospectively Collected Biobank Specimens
Bibliographic record
Abstract
PURPOSE: The role of percent free prostate specific antigen (%fPSA) in patients who have undergone radical prostatectomy and subsequently experienced disease relapse is unclear. We previously conducted 2 retrospective studies and found %fPSA 15 or greater in the setting of biochemical recurrence confers more aggressive disease. To validate that finding we used biobank specimens collected prospectively when patients were first diagnosed with biochemical recurrence. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Biobank specimens of patients with undetectable prostate specific antigen after radical prostatectomy and subsequent biochemical recurrence (prostate specific antigen 0.1 ng/ml or greater) were analyzed for %fPSA. Patients were stratified according to the %fPSA cutoff of 15. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to predict covariates associated with a higher %fPSA. Cox proportional hazard models were performed to evaluate the prognostic effect of %fPSA on androgen deprivation therapy-free survival, metastasis-free survival, castration resistant-free survival and cancer specific survival. RESULTS: A total of 154 men were included in the study, of whom 126 (82%) had %fPSA less than 15 and 28 (18%) had %fPSA 15 or greater. Median followup for %fPSA less than 15 and %fPSA 15 or greater was 75 and 69 months, respectively. Patients with %fPSA 15 or greater had increased hazard of receiving androgen deprivation therapy (43% vs 25%, adjusted HR 2.40, 95% CI 1.12-5.11), metastatic disease (21% vs 7.9%, adjusted HR 4.10, 95% CI 1.11-15.2) and castration resistant prostate cancer (14% vs 4.0%, unadjusted HR 4.14, 95% CI 1.11-15.5) vs %fPSA less than 15, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with %fPSA 15 or greater were started on androgen deprivation therapy earlier, and they had progression to castration resistant prostate cancer and metastatic stage earlier. %fPSA 15 or greater in the setting of biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy is an indicator of a more aggressive disease. Unlike in the diagnostic setting, a higher %fPSA portends a worse clinical outcome.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".