An Integrated Feature-Based Failure Prognosis Method for Wind Turbine Bearings
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
In North America, many utility-scale turbines are approaching the half-way point of their anticipated initial lifespan. Accurate remaining useful life (RUL) estimation can provide wind farm owners insight into how to optimize the life and value of their farm assets. An improved understanding of the RUL of turbine components is particularly essential as many owners consider retiring, life-extending, or repowering their farms. In this article, an integrated prognosis method based on signal processing and an adaptive Bayesian algorithm is proposed to predict the RUL of various faulty bearings in wind turbines. The signal processing leverages feature extraction, feature selection, and signal denoising to detect the dynamics of various failures. Then, RUL of the faulty bearings is forecast via the adaptive Bayesian algorithm using the extracted features. Finally, a new fusion method based on an ordered weighted averaging (OWA) operator is applied to the RUL obtained from the features to improve accuracy. The efficacy of the method is evaluated using data from historical failures across three different Canadian wind farms. Experimental test results indicate that the OWA operator delivers a higher accuracy for RUL prediction compared to the other feature-based methods and Choquet integral fusion technique.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it