A threshold linear mixed model for identification of treatment-sensitive subsets in a clinical trial based on longitudinal outcomes and a continuous covariate
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Identification of a subset of patients who may be sensitive to a specific treatment is an important problem in clinical trials. In this paper, we consider the case where the treatment effect is measured by longitudinal outcomes, such as quality of life scores assessed over the duration of a clinical trial, and the subset is determined by a continuous baseline covariate, such as age and expression level of a biomarker. A threshold linear mixed model is introduced, and a smoothing maximum likelihood method is proposed to obtain the estimation of the parameters in the model. Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb-Shanno algorithm is employed to maximize the proposed smoothing likelihood function. The proposed procedure is evaluated through simulation studies and application to the analysis of data from a randomized clinical trial on patients with advanced colorectal cancer.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.075 | 0.088 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.005 | 0.004 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".