Family History Is Associated With Recurrent Diverticulitis After an Episode of Diverticulitis Managed Nonoperatively
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: To date, the impact of family history on diverticulitis outcomes has been poorly described. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to evaluate the association between family history and diverticulitis recurrence after an episode of diverticulitis managed nonoperatively. DESIGN: This is a retrospective cohort study with prospective telephone follow-up. SETTINGS: This study was conducted at 2 McGill University-affiliated tertiary care hospitals in Montreal, Canada. PATIENTS: All immunocompetent patients with CT-proven left-sided diverticulitis who were managed nonoperatively from 2007 to 2017 were included. INTERVENTION: A positive family history for diverticulitis, as assessed by a detailed telephone questionnaire, was obtained. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was diverticulitis recurrence occurring >60 days after the index episode. Secondary outcomes included a complicated recurrence and >1 recurrence (ie, re-recurrence). RESULTS: Of the 879 patients identified in the database, 433 completed the telephone questionnaire (response rate: 48.9%). Among them, 173 (40.0%) had a positive family history of diverticulitis and 260 (60.0%) did not. Compared to patients with no family history, patients with family history had a younger median age (59.0 vs 62.0 years, p = 0.020) and a higher incidence of abscess (24.3% vs 3.5%, p < 0.001). After a median follow-up of 40.1 (17.4-65.3) months, patients with a positive family history had a higher cumulative incidence of recurrence (log-rank test: p < 0.001). On Cox regression, a positive family history remained associated with diverticulitis recurrence (HR, 3.74; 95% CI, 2.67-5.24). Among patients with a positive family history, >1 relative with a history of diverticulitis had a higher hazard of recurrence (HR, 2.93; 95% CI, 1.96-4.39) than patients with only 1 relative with a history of diverticulitis. Positive family history was also associated with the development of a complicated recurrence (HR, 8.30; 95% CI, 3.64-18.9) and >1 recurrence (HR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.13-3.65). LIMITATIONS: This study has the potential for recall and nonresponse bias. CONCLUSION: Patients with a positive family history of diverticulitis are at higher risk for recurrent diverticulitis and complicated recurrences. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B215. LOS ANTECEDENTES FAMILIARES ESTÁN ASOCIADOS CON DIVERTICULITIS RECURRENTE, DESPUÉS DE UN EPISODIO DE DIVERTICULITIS MANEJADA SIN OPERACIÓN: Hasta la fecha, el impacto de los antecedentes familiares en los resultados de la diverticulitis, ha sido mal descrito.Evaluar la asociación entre los antecedentes familiares y la recurrencia de diverticulitis después de un episodio de diverticulitis manejado de forma no operatoria.Estudio de cohorte retrospectivo con seguimiento telefónico prospectivo.Dos hospitales de atención terciaria afiliados a la Universidad McGill en Montreal, Canadá.Todos los pacientes inmunocompetentes con diverticulitis izquierda comprobada por TAC, que fueron manejados sin cirugía desde 2007-2017.Una historia familiar positiva para diverticulitis, según lo evaluado por un detallado cuestionario telefónico.El resultado primario fue la recurrencia de diverticulitis ocurriendo > 60 días después del episodio índice. Resultados secundarios incluyeron una recurrencia complicada y >1 recurrencia (es decir, re-recurrencia).De los 879 pacientes identificados en la base de datos, 433 completaron el cuestionario telefónico (tasa de respuesta: 48,9%). Entre ellos, 173 (40.0%) tenían antecedentes familiares positivos de diverticulitis y 260 (60.0%) no tenían. Comparados con los pacientes sin antecedentes familiares, los pacientes con antecedentes familiares tenían una mediana de edad más joven (59.0 vs 62.0 años, p = 0.020) y una mayor incidencia de abscesos (24.3% vs 3.5%, p < 0.001). Después de una mediana de seguimiento de 40.1 (17.4-65.3) meses, los pacientes con antecedentes familiares positivos tuvieron una mayor incidencia acumulada de recurrencia (prueba de log-rank: p < 0.001). En la regresión de Cox, un historial familiar positivo, permaneció asociado con recurrencia de diverticulitis (HR, 3.74; IC 95%, 2.67-5.24). Entre los pacientes con antecedentes familiares positivos, >1 familiar con antecedentes de diverticulitis, tuvieron mayores riesgos de recurrencia (HR, 2.93; IC 95%, 1.96-4.39) en comparación de los pacientes con solo 1 familiar. La historia familiar positiva también se asoció con el desarrollo de una recurrencia complicada (HR, 8.30; IC 95%, 3.64-18.9) y >1 recurrencia (HR, 2.03; IC 95%, 1.13-3.65).Potencial de recuerdo y sesgo de no respuesta.Los pacientes con antecedentes familiares positivos de diverticulitis tienen un mayor riesgo para diverticulitis recurrente y recurrencias complicadas. Consulte Video Resumen http://links.lww.com/DCR/B215. (Traducción-Dr. Fidel Ruiz Healy).
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".