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Record W3016269762 · doi:10.29220/csam.2020.27.2.189

Bayesian inference for an ordered multiple linear regression with skew normal errors

2020· article· en· W3016269762 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Jeongmun Jeong, Younshik Chung

Bibliographic record

VenueCommunications for Statistical Applications and Methods · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Distribution Estimation and Applications
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsDeviance information criterionBayesian linear regressionSkew normal distributionBayes factorMathematicsPrior probabilitySkewnessBayesian probabilityStatisticsBayesian inferenceSkewMarkov chain Monte CarloEconometricsComputer science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This paper studies a Bayesian ordered multiple linear regression model with skew normal error.It is reasonable that the kind of inherent information available in an applied regression requires some constraints on the coefficients to be estimated.In addition, the assumption of normality of the errors is sometimes not appropriate in the real data.Therefore, to explain such situations more flexibly, we use the skew-normal distribution given by Sahu et al.(The Canadian Journal of Statistics, 31, 129-150, 2003) for error-terms including normal distribution.For Bayesian methodology, the Markov chain Monte Carlo method is employed to resolve complicated integration problems.Also, under the improper priors, the propriety of the associated posterior density is shown.Our Bayesian proposed model is applied to NZAPB's apple data.For model comparison between the skew normal error model and the normal error model, we use the Bayes factor and deviance information criterion given by Spiegelhalter et al. (Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology), 64, 583-639, 2002).We also consider the problem of detecting an influential point concerning skewness using Bayes factors.Finally, concluding remarks are discussed.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.027
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.092
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.027
Threshold uncertainty score0.145

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0270.092
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0030.002
Bibliometrics0.0030.004
Science and technology studies0.0010.003
Scholarly communication0.0030.005
Open science0.0030.003
Research integrity0.0020.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.211
GPT teacher head0.514
Teacher spread0.303 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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