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Record W3017447414 · doi:10.5206/ntpr191

Northern Tornadoes Project 2018/19 Report

2019· report· en· W3017447414 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Greg Kopp, David Sills

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typereport
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicFire effects on ecosystems
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsTornadoSightGeographyMeteorologyArchaeologyAstronomy

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Three years ago, we set our sights on finding at least a few undocumented tornado tracks in the remote forests of northern Ontario. We have covered greater distances and nurtured bigger ambitions since then. From northern Ontario to all of Canada, from aircraft surveys to drones and satellites, from on-the- ground damage investigations to artificial intelligence analyses, the Northern Tornadoes Project is one of the most comprehensive tornado research projects in the country. It aims to better detect tornado occurrences throughout Canada, improve communication of tornado science and risk, and mitigate against harm to people and property. NTP also seeks to increase knowledge of tornado climatology to better understand trends due to climate change. This report is our journey through the past three years. It tells you where we have been, and where we are headed. The Northern Tornadoes Project took off through generous donations from Toronto-based social impact fund ImpactWX and Western University. The funds got the project started, and helped expand it from one province to the whole nation. We also acquired cutting-edge technology, and built an expert team of researchers, engineers, and meteorologists. This includes collaborations with Environment and Climate Change Canada, and research groups in Canada, United States, and the United Kingdom.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.533
Threshold uncertainty score0.928

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0030.003
Science and technology studies0.0020.000
Scholarly communication0.0030.001
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0460.032

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.021
GPT teacher head0.270
Teacher spread0.248 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2019
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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