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Record W3021186497 · doi:10.1038/s41591-020-0895-3

Modeling shield immunity to reduce COVID-19 epidemic spread

2020· article· en· W3021186497 on OpenAlexafffund
Joshua S. Weitz, Stephen J. Beckett, Ashley R. Coenen, David Demory, Marian Dominguez-Mirazo, Jonathan Dushoff, Chung Yin Leung, Guanlin Li, Andreea Măgălie, Sang Woo Park, Rogelio A. Rodriguez-Gonzalez, Shashwat Shivam, Conan Zhao

Bibliographic record

VenueNature Medicine · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicSARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
Canadian institutionsMcMaster University
FundersArmy Research OfficeCanadian Institutes of Health ResearchNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious DiseasesNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaGeorgia Institute of TechnologySimons FoundationU.S. Department of Health and Human ServicesNational Institutes of HealthNational Science Foundation
KeywordsPandemicHerd immunityTransmission (telecommunications)PopulationImmunityEnvironmental healthSocial distanceCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Intervention (counseling)OutbreakMedicineImmunologyBusinessRisk analysis (engineering)VirologyDiseaseComputer scienceInfectious disease (medical specialty)Immune systemTelecommunications

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex
No abstract in any covered source. Its absence is recorded, not treated as a negative.

No abstract. This is not a gap in this database; OpenAlex has none either. 23.3% of the frame is in this state, and the screen finds HALF as much metaresearch here, so the absence is a measured bias rather than a missing field.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.019
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch, Research integrity
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.758
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.019
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0010.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.097
GPT teacher head0.427
Teacher spread0.330 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations260
Published2020
Admission routes2
Has abstractno

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