Research on the International Relevance of China’s Economic Policy Uncertainty
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Currently facing a complex international environment, the world faces instability and uncertainty, and the world ’s economic growth momentum is inadequate. Facing environmental instability in various aspects, in order to promote sustainable economic development, governments of various countries are also implementing policies. There is a large uncertainty. Based on the economic policy uncertainty index, this article deeply studies the correlation between the uncertainty of China's economic policies and the uncertainty of economic policies of the world's important economies, and draws the following conclusions: In terms of correlation, when major historical events occur, the economic policy uncertainty index of each country has increased significantly. Secondly, in terms of targeted correlation, the economic policy uncertainty of each country is not completely independent and will be affected by other countries. Among them, the United States and China have the highest autonomy index and have the greatest impact on other countries. France and Germany have less influence on other countries and are more affected by other countries.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.008 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.005 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".