Social Mobility in Mexico. What Can We Learn from Its Regional Variation
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We run rank-rank regressions to estimate relative and absolute upward intergenerational social mobility of wealth in Mexico. At the national level, social mobility is low and the intergenerational persistence rate is high: 0.62. In terms of absolute upward mobility, those born in households at the 25th percentile reach, on average, the 35th percentile. At the regional level, the estimations show a clear north-south gradient: the children of poor parents show greater upward mobility with increasing distance from the south, the country?s poorest region. Notably, the opportunities to move up the social ladder are fewer and less compact than in Canada or the United States: in Mexico, inequality of opportunity by place of birth is greater. The variables most correlated with social mobility at the regional level seem to show an association between lower social mobility and higher inequality of opportunity in human capital accumulation and access to work and income throughout the life cycle.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it