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Record W3028540311 · doi:10.1101/2020.05.24.20112284

Mild Behavioral Impairment and Subjective Cognitive Decline predict Mild Cognitive Impairment

2020· preprint· en· W3028540311 on OpenAlexafffund
Zahinoor Ismail, Alexander McGirr, Sascha Gill, Sophie Hu, Nils D. Forkert, Eric E. Smith

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2020
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicDementia and Cognitive Impairment Research
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Calgary
FundersNational Institute on AgingMathison Centre for Mental Health Research and EducationCanada Research ChairsAlzheimer SocietyNational Institutes of HealthAlzheimer's Association
KeywordsCognitive declineDementiaNeurocognitiveClinical Dementia RatingLogistic regressionCognitionCognitive impairmentDiseaseMedicineInternal medicineOrdered logitPsychologyPsychiatry

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Objective Better methods for detecting preclinical neuropathological change are required for prevention of dementia. Mild behavioral impairment (MBI) and subjective cognitive decline (SCD) can represent neurobehavioral and neurocognitive axes of early stage neurodegenerative processes, which are represented in Stage 2 of the NIA-AA Alzheimer’s disease research framework. Both MBI and SCD may offer an opportunity for premorbid detection. We test the hypothesis that MBI and SCD confer additive risk for incident cognitive decline. Methods Participants were cognitively normal older adults followed up approximately annually at Alzheimer’s Disease Centers. Logistic regression was used to determine the relationship between baseline classification (MBI+, SCD+, neither (MBI-SCD-), or both (MBI+SCD+)) and cognitive decline, defined by Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) total score, at 3 years. Results Of 2769 participants (mean age=76; 63% females), 1536 were MBI-SCD-, 254 MBI-SCD+, 743 MBI+SCD-, and 236 MBI+SCD+. At 3-years, 349 individuals (12.6%) developed cognitive decline to CDR>0. Compared to SCD-MBI-, we observed an ordinal progression in risk, with ORs [95% CI] as follows: 3.61 [2.42-5.38] for MBI-SCD+ (16.5% progression), 4.76 [3.57-6.34] for MBI+SCD-, (20.7% progression) and 8.15 [5.71-11.64] for MBI+SCD+ (30.9% progression). Conclusion MBI in older adults alone or in combination with SCD is associated with a higher risk of incident cognitive decline at 3 years. The highest rate of progression to MCI is observed in those with both MBI and SCD. Used in conjunction, MBI and SCD could be simple and scalable methods to identify patients at high risk for cognitive decline for prevention studies.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.009
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.004
Threshold uncertainty score0.013

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.009
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.046
GPT teacher head0.358
Teacher spread0.313 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations15
Published2020
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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