The severity of wheat yield crises on eight Spanish farms, 1700-1774
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The main purpose of this article is to measure the severity of the wheat yield crises that occurred during the first three quarters of the 18th century, using records from eight farms and estates in Extremadura, Castile and Andalusia. Specifically, the research is based on account books from several monasteries and the Chapter of the Cordoba Cathedral. We have developed an indicator that considers yield drops in the years of sterility and, where appropriate, the magnitude of cereal deficits during the three-year periods before and after the crises. Our two most relevant conclusions indicate that: 1) the most disastrous cereal crops were obtained in the first quarter of the 18th century; and 2) the decreased severity of the crises in the second and third quarters corresponded more to the mitigation of yield deficits just before and after the years of sterility than to a moderation in their drop during the same periods of scarcity.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it