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Record W3037244793 · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2006.13975

Comparison of correlation-based measures of concordance in terms of asymptotic variance

2020· preprint· en· W3037244793 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.
fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.

Bibliographic record

VenuearXiv (Cornell University) · 2020
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicAdvanced Statistical Methods and Models
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
FundersJapan Society for the Promotion of ScienceNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaUniversity of Waterloo
KeywordsVan der Waerden's theoremConcordanceMathematicsRank correlationSpearman's rank correlation coefficientEstimatorStatisticsRank (graph theory)Combinatorics

Abstract

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We compare measures of concordance that arise as Pearson's linear correlation coefficient between two random variables transformed so that they follow the so-called concordance-inducing distributions. The class of such transformed rank correlations includes Spearman's rho, Blomqvist's beta and van der Waerden's coefficient. When only the standard axioms of measures of concordance are required, it is not always clear which transformed rank correlation is most suitable to use. To address this question, we compare measures of concordance in terms of their best and worst asymptotic variances of some canonical estimators over a certain set of dependence structures. A simple criterion derived from this approach is that concordance-inducing distributions with smaller fourth moment are more preferable. In particular, we show that Blomqvist's beta is the optimal transformed rank correlation in this sense, and Spearman's rho outperforms van der Waerden's coefficient. Moreover, we find that Kendall's tau, although it is not a transformed rank correlation of that nature, shares a certain optimal structure with Blomqvist's beta.

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Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.805
Threshold uncertainty score0.923

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.364
GPT teacher head0.340
Teacher spread0.024 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it