Hierarchical Nonlinear Moving Horizon Estimation of Vehicle Lateral Speed and Road Friction Coefficient
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract In this paper, we address nonlinear moving horizon estimation (NMHE) of vehicle lateral speed, as well as the road friction coefficient, using measured signals from sensors common to modern series-production automobiles. Due to nonlinear vehicle dynamics, a standard nonlinear moving horizon formulation leads to non-convex optimization problems, and numerical optimization algorithms can be trapped in undesirable local minima, leading to incorrect solutions. To address the challenge of non-convex cost functions, we propose an estimator with a two-level hierarchy. At the high level, a grid search combined with numerical optimization aims to find reference estimates that are sufficiently close to the global optimum. The reference estimates are refined at the low level leading to high-precision solutions. Our algorithm ensures that the estimates converge to the true values for the nominal model without the need for accurate initialization. Our design is tested in simulation with both the nominal model as well as a high-fidelity model of Autonomoose, the self-driving car of the University of Waterloo.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".