Semiparametric estimation with spatially correlated recurrent events
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract This article pertains to the analysis of recurrent event data in the presence of spatial correlation. Consider units located at n possibly spatially correlated geographical areas described by their longitude and latitude and monitored for the occurrence of an event that can recur. We propose a new class of semiparametric models for recurrent events that simultaneously account for risk factors and correlation among the spatial locations, and that subsumes the current methods. Since the parameters involved in the models are not directly estimable because of the high dimension of the likelihood, we use composite likelihood approach for estimation. The approach leads to estimates with population interpretation where their large sample properties are obtained under a reasonable set of regularity conditions. Simulation studies suggest that the resulting estimators have a very good finite sampling properties. The methods are illustrated using spatial data on recurrent esophageal cancer in the northern region of France and recurrent wildfire data in the province of Alberta, Canada.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it