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Record W303990125

Frozen Assets: Ownership of Arctic Mineral Rights Must Be Resolved to Prevent the Really Cold War

2010· article· en· W303990125 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Angelle C. Smith

Bibliographic record

Venue˜The œGeorge Washington international law review · 2010
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicArctic and Russian Policy Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsArcticNatural resourceLawUnited Nations Convention on the Law of the SeaJurisdictionPolitical scienceInternational lawNatural resource economicsOceanographyGeologyEconomics
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

I. INTRODUCTION Forget the Cold War; the really cold war is lurking. The looming debate over the natural resources in the Arctic is primed to explode. The glacial Arctic waters that harbored U.S. and Soviet submarines during the Cold War1 may prove to be battleground again if nothing is done to determine who has jurisdiction over the vast mineral deposits in the Arctic. Allocation of mineral rights in the Arctic is becoming increasingly important as global warming eases access to the area, the global demand for energy continues to rise, and advances in technology make extraction of these minerals possible.2 The harmonization of these three factors, coupled with competing international claims to the Arctic's continental shelf, may yield dispute of epic proportions to conclusively determine which nation, or nations, has the best claim to the untapped natural resources beneath the Arctic seabed. The Arctic region, specifically the North Pole, contains significant oil and gas reserves. Based on recent estimates, this area may contain close to twenty-five percent of the world's undiscovered oil and natural gas resources.3 Given the mineral potential of the area, the time to settle ownership of the Arctic seabed is now. And the countries with competing claims know this. The Russian Federation recently planted flag on the North Pole,4 Canada plans to build an Arctic military force,5 and the other Arctic coastal states-Denmark (through Greenland6), Norway, and the United States-are all seeking to establish an Arctic presence.7 As one commentator noted, the Arctic is a perfect storm seeded with political opportunism, national pride, military muscle flexing, high energy prices and the arcane exigencies of international law.8 Facially, it appears that the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), comprehensive international maritime treaty establishing rights, responsibilities, and procedures for settling claims in the world's oceans and seas, should be the proper mechanism to determine jurisdiction in the Artic.9 UNCLOS, however, is not viable option because not all of the interested parties have ratified the treaty and the UNCLOS component that recommends limits of the continental shelf has not achieved the status of customary international law.10 While the United Nations should take steps to address these shortfalls, it is highly unlikely that any amendment to the present regime will be proposed and accepted before anarchy on the high Arctic seas ensues. UNCLOS, therefore, is not the answer. This Note analyzes the present issue in five parts. First, it examines the history of competing discovery and ownership claims to the North Pole and the surrounding area. Second, it assesses the current mineral and environmental situation in the Arctic. Third, it reviews the traditional mechanisms that are typically employed to settle maritime and seabed delimitations. Fourth, it examines pending submissions to commissions created under UNCLOS in which interested countries seek to gain jurisdiction of disputed areas of the Arctic continental shelf. And, fifth, it analyzes the viability of UNCLOS to settle the Arctic boundary and resource disputes. The role of UNCLOS in settling the mineral situation in the Arctic is far from certain, and this Note highlights the characteristics that make it ill-suited to address the problem. In its place, this Note proposes an alternative method to allocate jurisdiction of the continental shelf. This proposal seeks to create new Arctic regime by combining elements from the International Court of Justice (ICJ), the mineral resource provisions in the Antarctic Treaty System (ATS), and the common heritage of mankind principles11. Unlike these systems, this new regime must be narrowly tailored in manner that encourages all Arctic coastal states to agree to abide by the terms of the treaty. The ultimate goal of this regime is to allocate once unattainable resources in fair and effective manner. …

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.950
Threshold uncertainty score0.979

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.027
GPT teacher head0.323
Teacher spread0.296 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2010
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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Same venue˜The œGeorge Washington international law reviewSame topicArctic and Russian Policy StudiesFrench-language works237,207