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Record W3040864177

The economics of water conservation regulations under uncertainty: An application to Alberta's Lower Athabasca River Region

2020· preprint· en· W3040864177 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Margaret Insley, Yichun Huang

Bibliographic record

VenueRePEc: Research Papers in Economics · 2020
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicWater resources management and optimization
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMarginal costAsset (computer security)Volatility (finance)Marginal abatement costWater storageEnvironmental scienceMarginal valueNatural resource economicsControl (management)EconomicsMicroeconomicsEconometricsEngineeringComputer scienceGreenhouse gas
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Large water demands by the mining industry are of increasing concern around the world. Command and control water regulations may be highly inefficient. The cost of a specific command and control water management policy is studied for an oil sands mining operation in Canada, where restrictions on water withdrawals vary with fluctuations in the river. A dynamic stochastic optimal control model is specified for a firm choosing production, water use, and the timing to build a water storage facility, under conditions of uncertain oil prices and uncertain water withdrawal limits. A numerical solution of an HJB equation is implemented to determine the difference in value and optimal controls for the oil-producing asset, with and without water restrictions. The cost of the restrictions is estimated to be quite small given the current reserve base and capacity of the industry. The marginal cost of tightening restrictions is non-monotonic with respect to price volatility.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.225
Threshold uncertainty score0.452

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0020.002
Scholarly communication0.0030.001
Open science0.0020.001
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.024
GPT teacher head0.251
Teacher spread0.227 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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