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Record W3044015367 · doi:10.3390/e22080805

Option Portfolio Selection with Generalized Entropic Portfolio Optimization

2020· article· en· W3044015367 on OpenAlexafffund
Peter Joseph Mercurio, Yuehua Wu, Hong Xie

Bibliographic record

VenueEntropy · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicRisk and Portfolio Optimization
Canadian institutionsRoyal Bank of CanadaYork University
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaOracle
KeywordsPortfolioPortfolio optimizationMathematical optimizationSelection (genetic algorithm)Computer sciencePost-modern portfolio theoryEntropy (arrow of time)Modern portfolio theoryOptimization problemReplicating portfolioEconometricsEconomicsMathematicsFinancial economicsArtificial intelligence

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In this third and final paper of our series on the topic of portfolio optimization, we introduce a further generalized portfolio selection method called generalized entropic portfolio optimization (GEPO). GEPO extends discrete entropic portfolio optimization (DEPO) to include intervals of continuous returns, with direct application to a wide range of option strategies. This lays the groundwork for an adaptable optimization framework that can accommodate a wealth of option portfolios, including popular strategies such as covered calls, married puts, credit spreads, straddles, strangles, butterfly spreads, and even iron condors. These option strategies exhibit mixed returns: a combination of discrete and continuous returns with performance best measured by portfolio growth rate, making entropic portfolio optimization an ideal method for option portfolio selection. GEPO provides the mathematical tools to select efficient option portfolios based on their growth rate and relative entropy. We provide an example of GEPO applied to real market option portfolio selection and demonstrate how GEPO outperforms traditional Kelly criterion strategies.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.827
Threshold uncertainty score0.998

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.053
GPT teacher head0.311
Teacher spread0.258 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations4
Published2020
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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