Predicting graduate student performance – A case study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Graduate admission has become critical for quality assurance. An innovative solution is needed to achieve efficiency and consistency in the admission process at institutions. However, the existing research is lack of a simple practical method for informed decision-making for admissions. We develop a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) model to calculate the probability of success in course-based graduate studies in engineering. This approach integrates a wide range of quality indicators found in the existing literature. We hypothesise that the model will improve post-graduate admission decisions.A case study was conducted on students enrolled in the Master of Applied Science (MASc) in Oil and Gas Engineering programme at EnBeyond University. The results show no significant difference between the calculated chances of success and the obtained average. The proposed model is effective in predicting the chances of success. It will help to prioritise admission opportunities to those who have higher chances of success in graduate studies. It can also help to build a pre-assessment system with which prospective students can assess their admissibility before filing an application. This study is a first step towards a plethora of future research to come in this important area.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".